Canadian Economics Association
Association Canadienne d'Économique

1997 Conference Program

Memorial University, St. John's, Newfoundland
Friday, June 6 - Sunday, June 8

This web page contains the preliminary program of the 1997 annual conference of the Canadian Economics Association. It is made available by the CEA conference organizers. For more information contact the CEA Program Organizer Michael Parkin at the Department of Economics at the University of Western Ontario. This world wide web service is provided by PACIFIC in cooperation with the CEA. This conference program was last updated on

THURSDAY JUNE 5, 3:00 - 6:00, Room T.B.A.
EXECUTIVE COUNCIL MEETING

THURSDAY JUNE 5, 6:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
PAST PRESIDENT'S DINNER

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
CSLS/CIRA / BEYOND GDP: MEASURES OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL WELL BEING

  1. Composite Measures of Socio-economic Performance
          Allen Zeesman (Human Resources Development Canada)
  2. An Index of Social Health for Canada

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
CEA/CHA /

Chair / Président: Dr. Hiller (Memorial University)

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 1

  1. Amnesty and Crime
          William G. Morrison (Wilfrid Laurier University)
  2. On the Evolutionary Dynamics of Crime

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 2

  1. Are Incomes in North America Converging? A Cointegration Approach
          Serge Coulombe
          Kathleen Day (University of Ottawa)
  2. Regional Convergence in the U.S. and Canada: Does the Boundary Matter?

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 3

  1. When Output is an Externality: A Preliminary Exploration
          Joanne Roberts (Queen's University)
  2. Plea Bargaining and Deterrence

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 4

  1. Determinants of Multiple Job Holding: Evidence from Canada
          Paul Lanoie
          Francois Raymond
          Bruce Shearer (Ecole des HEC and CIRANO)
  2. Work Sharing and Productivity: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
CEA/CEANA / TRADE AND PRODUCTIVITY ISSUES IN SOUTHEAST

Chair / Président: Ken Chan (McMaster University)

  1. Productivity Growth, Technology Adoption and Government Intervention in Human Vintage Model
          Shiou Shieh (Academia Sinica, Taiwan)
          Mau-Shan Shi (Academia Sinica, Taiwan)
  2. Initial Tariff Regimes, Cost Asymmetry, and Free-Trade Agreements: Is the Low Cost Country Superior to the High-Cost Country as an FTA Partner?
          B. Guha-Khasnobis (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, India)
  3. Trade Liberalization and the FDI Dilemma
          Chris S.P. Tong (Hong Kong Baptist University)
  4. Industrial Production Efficiency and Its Spatial Disparity Among the TVEs: A DEA Analysis

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
CILN / YOUTH LABOUR MARKETS: CANADIAN AND INTE NATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON THE `NEW' GENERATION GAP

  1. The Declining Labour Market Status of Young Men
          Paul Beaudry (University of British Columbia)
          David Green (University of British Columbia)
  2. Cohort Patterns in Canadian Earnings and the Skill-Biased Technical Change Hypothesis
          David Blanchflower (Dartmouth College)
          Richard Freeman (Harvard University, LSE and NBER)
  3. Growing into Work? School-to-Work Transitions in a Sample of OECD Countries

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
CABE / CANADIAN ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: ECONOMIC PROSPECTS IN A FISCALLY RESPONSIBLE ENVIRONMENT

Chair / Président: Catharine Harris

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 5

  1. Forecasting with Real Business Cycle Models
          Jonas Fisher (University of Western Ontario)
          Andreas Hornstein (University of Western Ontario)
  2. Housing Investment and the Business Cycle
          Michael Sampson (Concordia University)
  3. Parameter Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: The Implications for Welfare and the Stock Market

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 6

  1. Competition within a Cartel: League Conduct and Team Conduct in the Market for Baseball Player Services
          Philippe Cyrenne (University of Winnipeg)
  2. A Quality of Play Model of a Professional Sports League

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 7

  1. Speak and Ye Shall Receive: Language Knowledge as Human Capital
          L. Christofides
          R. Swidinsky (University of Guelph)
  2. Bilingualism and Earnings in Canada

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 8

  1. Pollution with Oligopoly
          Milan Jayasinghe (University of Ottawa/Carleton University)
  2. Firms' Investment Decisions under Regulation - The Case of Environmental Standards
          Rob Godby
          Anastasia Lintner
          Thanasis Stengos
          Bo Wandschneider (Memorial University)
  3. Testing for Asymmetric Pricing in the Canadian Retail Gasoline Market

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 9

  1. Foreign Aid and Population Policy: Some Ethical Considerations
          Jean-Yves Duclos
          Peter J. Lambert (Universite Laval)
  2. A Normative Approach to Measuring Classical Horizontal Inequity
          Jeremy Clark (University of British Columbia)
  3. Fairness Preferences and Strategic Ability: Are They Substitutes? An Experimental Investigation

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 12:00 - 1:30 P.M., Faculty of Business
CANADIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS (CJE) EDITORIAL BOARD LUNC EON

Chair / Président: Curtis Eaton (Simon Fraser University)

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
CEA/CWEN

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
IRPP

Chair / Président: France St-Hilaire

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 10

  1. Banking Sector Fragility and Systemic Sources of Fragility
          Marsha Courchane (Office of the Comptroller of the Currency)
  2. The Impact of Electronic Banking
          Merwan Engineer
          Shouyong Shi (University of Victoria)
  3. Bargaining Power, Barter and Fiat Money

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 11

  1. Strategic Monitoring by an Ex-Post Informed Principal
          Dan Bernhardt
          Ed Nosal (University of Waterloo)
  2. Costly State Verification: Making Mistakes is Optimal

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 12

  1. Durations of non-employment for displaced uranium miners
          Lars Vilhuber (University of Montreal)
  2. Labour Market Transitions
          Paul Storer
          M. Van Audenrode (Universite Laval)
  3. The Uncertainty of Displacement

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 13

  1. Cross Border Shopping and its Effects on the Provision of Government Services
          Matthias Wrede (University of Bamberg)
  2. Tax Competition and Federalism The Underprovision of Local Public Goods
          Nicholas Rowe (Carleton University)
          Frances Woolley (Simon Fraser University)
  3. The Efficiency Case for Universality
          Sam Bucovetsky (York University)
  4. Insurance and Incentive Effects of Transfers among Regions: Equity and Efficiency

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 14

  1. Bootstrapping Tests for Cointegration
          Kuan Xu (Dalhousie University)
  2. Bootstrap-Based Statistical Inference for Generalized Gini Indices of Inequality
          L.G. Godfrey
          Michael R. Veall (McMaster University)
  3. Bootstrap Adjustments to Tests for Common Factor Restrictions: A Monte Carlo Analysis

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 15

  1. Assimilation of the British and Foreign Born in Canada: Cross-Section Evidence from the 1901 Census Manuscripts
          Gillian Hamilton (University of Toronto)
  2. The Decline of Apprenticeship: Evidence from Montreal
          Ruth Dupre (Ecole des HEC)
  3. The Fight Over Banning Cigarette Smoking in Canada at the Turn of the 20th Century

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 16

  1. Testing Ambient Pollution Contracts
          Karim Eslamloueyan (University of Ottawa)
  2. Trade and Environmental Policies: A Game Theoretic Approach
          Robert Cairns (McGill University)
  3. A Contribution to Dynamic Marshall-Walras Synthesis using Exhaustible-Resource Equilibrium

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 17

  1. Standardized Mortality Ratios in Capitation Funding Models
          Lori Curtis (McMaster University)
  2. Single Parenthood: Its Relationship to Health Status
          R. Jha
          H.K. Nagarajan
          K.R. Jagarajan
          Anandi Sahu (Oakland University)
  3. Inflationary Impact of Government Expenditures on Health Care: A Guaranteed Minimum Versus Additional Subsidized Care
          Ugurhan G. Berkok (Royal Military College of Canada)
  4. Efficiency and Equity of a Parallel Private Health Care System

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 18

  1. Bank of Canada Policy and the Adjustment of Individual Wages: Evaluating the Fortin/Krugman Explanation of the Canada-U.S. Unemployment Rate Differential
          Talan Iscan
          Kuan Xu (Dalhousie University)
  2. Lower Inflation with Higher Volatility: What Can be Learned from the Recent Canadian Disinflation?

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 1:45 - 3:15, Room T.B.A.
CSLS/CIRA / PRODUCTIVITY IN THE CANADIAN FINANCIAL SECT R

  1. Total Factor Productivity in the Canadian Life Insurance Industry
          George Sciadas (Statistics Canada)
  2. The Measurement of Banking Output and the Treatment of Interest in the System of National Accounts

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
INDUSTRY CANADA / MICROECONOMIC RESEARCH AND THE FEDE AL GOVERNMENT

Chair / Président: Robin Boadway (Queen's University)

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 19

  1. Government Size and Growth: An Empirical Case Study
          Joe Amoako-Tuffour
          Curtis E. Youngblood (St. Francis Xavier University)
  2. The Consistency of Budget Deficits and Macroeconomic Adjustments in Ghana: A Simulation Analysis

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 20

  1. An Examination of the Growth of Social Assistance Receipt in Canada
          Greg LeBlanc (University of British Columbia/Concordia University)
  2. Optimal Income Maintenance and the `Unemployable'
          Martin Dooley
          Pierre Lefebvre
          Philip Merrigan (McMaster University)
  3. Lone Female Headship and Welfare Policy in Canada

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 21

  1. What Can the Bank of Canada do about Output Fluctuations?
          David Johnson (Wilfrid Laurier University)
  2. On the Credibility of Monetary Policy: International Evidence Based on Surveys of Expected Inflation
          Jerzy Konieczny (Wilfrid Laurier University)
  3. Emperor's New Clothes" or "The Benefits of Positive Inflation over Price Stability

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 22

  1. A Comparison of Demand Patterns of Canadian-Born Versus Immigrant-Born Consumers
          David Sabiston (Laurentian University)
  2. Testing for Structural Breaks
          Kevin Fox
          Irwin Diewert (University of New South Wales and UBC)
  3. Open Economy Productivity and Elasticity Estimates for 18 OECD Countries 1960-1992

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 23

  1. Reinterpreting the Evidence on Child Care Workers' Wages
          Heather Antecol
          Peter Kuhn (McMaster University)
  2. Sex Discrimination in the Labour Market: Reports versus Measures
          Jean Fares (Universite de Montreal)
  3. Strikes and Wage Dynamics

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
THE 1986 COMPETITION ACT: THE FIRST TEN YEARS

Chair / Président: Tim Hazledine (University of Auckland, New Zealand)

  1. Abuse of Dominance under the 1986 Competition Act
          Don McFetridge (Carleton University)
  2. Merger Law In Canada
          Patrick Hughes (Bureau of Competition Policy)
          Margaret Sanderson (Bureau of Competition Policy)
  3. Conspiracy Law and Jurisprudence in Canada: towards an economic approach

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 25

  1. Efficient Markets, Fundamentals, and Crashes: American Theories of Financial Crises and Market Volatility
          Gordon Phillips
          Robert Weiner (George Washington University)
  2. Does Futures Trading Increase Price Volatility? Evidence from Crude Oil Derivatives

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 26

  1. International Relative Price Movements in the Presence of Deviations from the Laws of One Price
          Ram Acharya (University of Ottawa)
  2. Trade Policy with Specific Factors
          Richard Harris (Simon Fraser University)
  3. The Internet as a GPT: Factor Market Consequences

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 27

  1. On the Allocation of Credit Among Rural Households in Bangladesh: Evidence from Survey Data
          Mak Arvin
          Thorben Drewes (Trent University)
  2. Biases in the Allocation of Canadian Official Development Assistance
          Pascal St-Amour
          Desire Vencatachellum (University of Montreal)
  3. Families, Insurance and Employment in Developing Agricultural Economies
          Syed Ahsan (Concordia University)
  4. Measuring the Welfare of Rural Liberalization

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
TEACHING PANEL

Chair / Président: Avi Cohen (University of Lethbridge and York University)

FRIDAY JUNE 6, 5:00 - 6:15, Room T.B.A.
INNIS LECTURE

Chair / Président: Mick Devereux (University of British Columbia)

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
THAILAND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Chair / Président: Frank Flatters (Queen's University)

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 30

  1. Effective Marginal Tax Rates in Canada and their Macroeconomic Effects
          Joe Ruggeri (Department of Finance)
  2. Effective Income Tax Rates in Macroeconomics

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 31

  1. Oil Prices and Macroeconomic Prediction
          Paul Boothe
          Robert Nicholl (University of Alberta)
  2. Regional Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Australia
          Robert Lamy (Finance Canada)
  3. Predicting Canadian Recessions with Macroeconomic Indicators

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 32

  1. Intellectual Property Rights and R&D Spending in the Canadian Pharmaceutical Industry
          Gordon Cleveland
          Michael Krashinsky (University of Toronto at Scarborough)
  2. Equilibrium with For-Profit and Nonprofit Day Care Firms in Location Models

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 33

  1. Youths and the 1990s Job Market: Not all Rhythm and Poetry (RAP)
          Garnett Picot
          Zhengxin Lin (BLMA Statistics Canada)
  2. Are Canadians More Likely to Lose Their Jobs in the 1990s?

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 34

  1. An Examination of U.S. Foreign Direct Investment into Mexico and its Relation to the North American Free Trade Agreement
          Halldor P. Palsson (Competition Bureau)
  2. The Economic Impact of Dumping on the Canadian Refined Sugar Market
          Prakash Sharma (Foreign Affairs & International Trade/University of Ottawa)
          Suzanne Desjardins
          David Weiner
  3. The Clash of Globalization and Regionalism: An Empirical Analysis of FDI and Trade Flows

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 35

  1. On the Concept and Dimensions of Human Capital
          U. Berkok
          Lawrence McDonough (Royal Military College of Canada)
  2. Altruism and Human Capital Accumulation

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 36

  1. The Solow Residual with Adjustments for Varying Capacity Utilization and Composition Bias in the Labour Input
          Surendra Gera
          Wulong Gu (Industry Canada)
  2. Capital-Embodied Technical Change and Productivity Slowdown in Canada
          Tim Sargent
          Steven A. James (Department of Finance)
  3. Potential Output, Productivity and the New Growth Theory

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 37

  1. Energy Consumption in Developing Countries
          Yuri Yevdokimov (University of Manitoba)
  2. Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Environmental Impacts: The Case of the Chernobyl Accident in the Soviet Economy

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 38

  1. Testing for Downward Rigidity in Nominal Wage Rates
          Claude Lavoie (Department of Finance)
  2. Nominal Wage Rigidities and the Philips Curve: An application of the Akerlof, Dickens and Perry Model to Canada
          Philip Bagnoli (Department of Finance)
  3. Production Technologies and Asymmetric Nominal Wage Rigidity: The Implications for Aggregate Output

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
CABE / STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN PRIVATE SECTOR SERVICES

Chair / Président: Catharine Harris

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
CABE / STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN PUBLIC SECTOR SERVICES

Chair / Président: Catharine Harris

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 39

  1. The International Transmission of Sectoral Productivity Growth Shocks
          Ulrich Kohli (University of Geneva)
  2. Growth Accounting in the Open Economy: International Comparisons
          Wulong Gu (Industry Canada)
  3. Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Trade on Productivity Growth in Canada

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 40

  1. Bargaining, Efficiency Wages, and the Theory of the Firm
          Larry Levine (University of New Brunswick)
  2. Identifying Inputs and Generating Outputs: A Difficult Case
          Mohamed Sooheil Haddad
          Jean-Louis Arcand (University of Montreal)
  3. Risk Sharing, Risk Diversification and Sharecropping

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 41

  1. The Duration of Welfare Spells and the Incidence of Recedivism Among Lone Mothers in Ontario
          JoAnn Kingston Riechers (McMaster University)
  2. An Econometric Analysis of the Frequency of Domestic Violence
          Richard Archambault (Developpement des resources humaines Canada)
  3. Les taux d'activite au Canada: Une analyse du taux d'activite des femmes avec enfants

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 42

  1. Competition Law in the Republic of Hungary
          Michel Roland
          Jean-Thomas Bernard (Universite Laval)
  2. The Effects of Regulatory Agencies on the Efficiency of Publicly-owned Utilities
          Ron Corvari (Patented Medicine Prices Review Board)
  3. Drug Price Regulation

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 43

  1. Testing for the Strength of Granger-Causality: A re-investigation of bivariate money income causality in Canada
          John W. Galbraith
          Victoria Zinde-Walsh (McGill University)
  2. Time-Domain Methods for the Estimation of Fractionally-Integrated Time Series Models
          Judith A. Giles
          Sadaf Mirza (University of Victoria)
  3. Some Pretesting Issues on Testing for Granger Noncausality

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 45

  1. The Long-run Effect of Investment on Growth Rate in OECD Countries
          Martin Coiteux
          Denis Belanger (Ecole des HEC)
  2. Consumption, Saving and the Real Return on Household Wealth in Canada

SATURDAY, JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
BANK OF CANADA MONETARY REPORT

Chair / Président: T.K. Rymes

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
AWARDING OF DOUGLAS PURVIS MEMORIAL PRIZE

Chair / Président: Rick Harris (Simon Fraser University)

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 12:00 - 1:30, Main Dining Hall
DOUGLAS PURVIS MEMORIAL LUNCHEON

Chair / Président: Michael Parkin (University of Western Ontario)

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 48

  1. Public Debt and the Economics of David Ricardo
          Philip King (Department of Finance)
  2. The Magnitude and Sustainability of Canadian Fiscal Reform
          Philip Bagnoli (Department of Finance)
  3. Intergenerational Equity and Sustainable Development: An Economic Nexus

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 49

  1. Tax Expenditures and Tax Preferences in Five OECD Countries
          Maxime Fougere (Department of Finance)
  2. The Incidence of Tax Preferences in the Personal Income Tax

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 50

  1. The Determinants of the Diffusion of Advanced Manufacturing Technologies
          Stuart Mestelman
          Mohamed Shehata (McMaster University)
  2. The Impact of Research and Development Subsidies on the Employment of Research and Development Inputs
          Sunder Magun (Applied International Economics)
  3. Restructuring in Canadian Industries: A Micro Analysis

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 51

  1. Education, Experience, and Finding a Successful Job Match
          Benoit Julian
          John Kennes
          Ian King (University of Victoria)
  2. Matching Microfoundations
          John Kennes (University of Victoria)
  3. Entrepreneurs in Search Equilibrium
          Padma Rao Sahib (Concordia University)
  4. An Empirical Model of Marriage and Matching

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 52

  1. Bilateral Monopolies and Oligopolies in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union
          Jean Mercenier
          Erinc Yeldan (CRDE/Universite de Montreal)
  2. On Turkey's Trade Policy: Is a Customs Union with Europe Enough?
          Sandy Greig (Canadian International Trade Tribunal)
  3. Trade Remedies in a Trade Dependent World

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 53

  1. Banking System Fragility: Likelihood Versus Timing of Failure: An Application to the Mexican Financial Crisis
          Rodney Schmidt (Department of Finance)
  2. Sources of Financial Fragility

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 54

  1. The New Zealand Economic Revolutions: Lessons for Canada?

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 55

  1. Sustainability and the Environmental Kuznets Curve - an Option Value Analysis
          Vicky Barham
          R. Quentin Grafton (University of Ottawa)
  2. Beyond Rio: Adaptation or Abatement of Greenhouse Gas Emissions

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 56

  1. Productivity Growth Due to the Elimination of Social Insurance
          Marcel Merette (Department of Finance)
  2. Taxes and Growth: An Endogenous Growth Approach

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 57

  1. Gender and the Study of Economics: The Role of Gender of the Instructor

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 1:30 - 3:00, Room T.B.A.
SYMPOSIUM ON INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT

SATURDAY, JUNE 7, 3:00 - 5:00, Room T.B.A.
INDUSTRY CANADA / CAPITAL MARKET ISSUES

Chair / Président: Paul Halpern (University of Toronto)

  1. Venture Capital Financing of Entrepreneurship in Canada
          Duanjie Chen
          Kenneth McKenzie
  2. The Impact of Taxation on Capital Markets and Competitiveness
          Jean Francois L'her
          Jean-Marc Suret
  3. The Evolution of Financing Structure of Major Canadian Companies
          Jack Mintz
  4. Policy Perspectives On Capital Market Issues

SATURDAY, JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
THE 1986 COMPETITION ACT: THE NEXT TEN YEARS

Chair / Président: Roger Ware (Queen's University)

  1. Is a total surplus standard sustainable or desirable for different areas of Competition Policy enforcement"
          Ralph Winter (University of Toronto)
  2. Exclusive Dealing
          Harry Chandler (Acting Director General, Economics and International Affairs Branch, Bureau of Competition)
  3. Current and Future Amendments to the Competition Act

SATURDAY, JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
CSLS/CIRA / PRODUCTIVITY ISSUES FACING THE CANADIAN ECON MY

  1. Benchmarking and the Measurement of Best Practices Efficiency: The Case of Electricity Generation
          Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)
  2. The Productivity Paradox: A Synthesis of Divergent Explanations

SATURDAY, JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 44

  1. Strategic Fishing Fleet Management and International Fleet Wars
          Jean Durjan (Human Resources Development Canada)
  2. Income Variability in the Atlantic Fishery, 1981-90
          Richard Mueller (University of Maine)
  3. The Labour Supply Consequences of Marital Dissolution for Canadian Men and Women

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 59

  1. Social Spending, Economic Growth and Social Well-Being
          Ronald D. Kneebone
          Kenneth J. McKenzie (University of Calgary)
  2. Provincial Approaches to Deficit Reduction
          Tracy R. Snoddon (Wilfrid Laurier University)
  3. Transfer Shocks and Provincial Spending and Revenue Responses
          Vaughan Dickson
          Weiqiu Yu (University of New Brunswick)
  4. The Demand for Provincial Government Spending, 1961-92

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
BARRY COZIER SEMINAR ON MACROECONOMIC POLICY

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 61

  1. Positional Consumption and Monopolistic Competition
          Paul Anglin (University of Windsor)
  2. An Equilibrium Model of Intermediation
          Wasif Rasheed (McMaster University)
  3. Examining Non-cooperative and Cooperative Models of Intra-household Allocation

SATURDAY, JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 62

  1. The Truth About Immigrant "Quality" in Canada
          Gordon Myers (University of Waterloo)
  2. Towards a Better System of Immigration Control
          James Ted McDonald
          Christopher Worswick (University of Melbourne)
  3. Macroeconomic Conditions and the Earnings Assimilation of Immigrants
          Zhengxin Lin (BLMA Statistics Canada)
  4. Immigrants vs Native-Born Canadians: A Comparison of Their Inter-Provincial Mobility

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 63

  1. Foreign Direct Investment and APEC Economic Integration
          Someshwar Rao (Industry Canada)
          Ashfaq Ahmad (Industry Canada)
  2. Canadian Small and Medium Size Enterprises: Opportunities and Challenges in the Asia-Pacific Region
          Syed Ahsan
          Tongyuan Wang (Concordia University)
  3. Canadian Foreign Direct Investment in Asia

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 64

  1. EMU and its Effects on Canada: Some Preliminary Survey Results
          Rene Garcia
          Maral Kichian (Bank of Canada)
  2. Modelling the Risk Premiums in International Financial Markets

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 65

  1. "Interdisciplinary Approaches to Behaviour"

SATURDAY JUNE 7, 3:20 - 4:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 66

  1. Move over KLEM and Make Way for KLEMW: An Econometric Investigation of the Role of Water in the Canadian Manufacturing Industry
          J.C. Elnaboulsi (Universite de Franche-Coute)
  2. Peak-Load Pricing Model for Water and Wastewater Public Services

SATURDAY, JUNE 7, 5:00 - 6:15, Room T.B.A.
PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 24

  1. Stock Volatility of Canadian Multinational Banks and Some Large Shocks
          Marie-Claude Beaulieu (Universite Laval)
  2. Un modele d'operations mixtes portant sur les contrats a terme boursiers

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 68

  1. Procyclical Labor Productivity: Sources and Implications
          E. Cardia
          Norma Kozhaya (University of Montreal)
  2. Distortionary Taxation and International Real Business Cycle Models
          Hashmat Ullah Khan (University of British Columbia)
  3. Entry Delay, Increasing Returns to Specialization, and the Propagation of Shocks

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 69

  1. Conceptual and Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Expenditure Incidence
          Bilkis Khanam (Transport Canada)
  2. Estimates of Elasticities of Substitution Between Public and Private Inputs in the Canadian Goods-Production
          Steven James
          Chris Matier (Department of Finance)
  3. The Benefits of Government Debt Reduction: A Dynamic CGE Analysis of Alternative Transition Paths and Steady-States

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 70

  1. Certification Application Effects on The Value of Firms in Canada: Differences By Method and Type of Certification
          Tereasa Chudy
          Giles McDougall
          David Swimmer (Industry Canada)
  2. Business Strategies of SMEs and Large Firms in Canada

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 71

  1. Working More? Working Less? What Do Canadian Workers Prefer?
          Mokhtar Souissi
          L. Beausejour (Department of Finance)
  2. Measuring Economic Efficiency under Alternative Labour Market Conditions
          Philip Jennings (Human Resources Development Canada)
  3. An Exploration of Employer Sponsored Training in Canada

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 72

  1. The Transactions Demand for Money and the Value of Time: Some Empirical Evidence
          Greg Tkacz (McGill University)
  2. Estimation and Inference for Asymmetric Effects Between Inflation Changes and Interest Rate Differentials
          Martin Gervais (University of Western Ontario)
  3. Does the Canadian Banking System Affect the Overnight Market?

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 73

  1. Cyclically-Adjusted Measures of Structural Trend Breaks: An Application to the Productivity Trend in the 1990s
          Chantal Dupasquier
          Alain Guay
          Pierre St-Amant (Bank of Canada)
  2. A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies for Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap
          Thomas K. Rymes (Carleton University)
  3. On total factor productivity measurement for banks and the aggregate economy

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 8:30 - 10:00, Room T.B.A.
Session 74

  1. Modelling Inflation Expectations in Canada using Bayesian Learning
          K.V. Nagarajan (Laurentian University)
  2. Forecasting Inflation in Canada
          Saeed Moshiri (University of Manitoba)
  3. Forecasting Inflation Rate Using Adaptive and Non-Adaptive Models

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
INDUSTRY CANADA / ASIA-PACIFIC REGION

Chair / Président: Rick Harris (Simon Fraser University)

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
CEA/CEANA / TRADE AND EXCHANGE RATES ISSUES IN SOUT EAST ASIA

  1. Impact on Asia of China's Trade and Foreign Investment Reforms: A Computational General Equilibrium Approach
          S.K. Dash (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, India)
          B. Guha-Khasnobis (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, India)
  2. Risk Premium in the Indian Foreign Exchange Market
          K.S. Chan (Mcmaster University)
          Ngiam K.J. (National University of Singapore)
  3. A Case for Currency Board System in Singapore

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 75

  1. Willingness-to-Pay for Improved Air Quality in Hamilton-Wentworth: A Choice Experiment
          Diane Dupont (Brock University)
  2. Does Order Matter? An Analysis of the Impacts of Question Sequence upon the Total and Marginal Willingness-to-Pay for Recreational Improvements
          Gordon Tarzwell (University of College of the Cariboo)
  3. The Impact of Diverse Preferences on Government Expenditures

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 76

  1. Dynamic Effects of Taxes and Government Spending in a Calibrated Canadian Endogenous Growth Model
          Jinli Zeng
          Jie Zhang (National University of Singapore)
  2. Taxation and Public Goods in a Growth Model with Heterogeneous Agents
          Ronald Lee
          Jie Zhang
          Junsen Zhang (Victoria University of Wellington)
  3. Aging and Growth with Actuarially Fair Savings

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 77

  1. Demand for New Automobiles: Are Micro and Macro Models Consistent?
          James Brox
          Richard Bodell
          Morton Globus
          Christina Fader (University of Waterloo)
  2. Factors Affecting Successful Technology Transfer Between University Research and Industry

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 78

  1. The Labour Supply Impact of Alternative Proposals to Reduce Child Poverty
          Michael Baker
          Dwayne Benjamin (University of Toronto)
  2. How Do Retirement Tests Affect the Labour Supply of Older Men
          Seamus Hogan (Bank of Canada)
  3. Minimum Wages and Voluntary Quits

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 79

  1. Firm Response to Bilateral/Regional Trade Liberalization: A Study of Canadian Acquisitions in the US (1981-1995)
          Frank Lee (Industry Canada)
  2. Comparative Advantage and Competitiveness: Canada Vis-a-Vis the U.S.
          Rick Cameron (Industry Canada)
  3. Trade Activity of Foreign Affiliates in Canada

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 80

  1. Monte Carlo Tests for Contemporaneous Correlation of Disturbances in Multi-Equation Regression Models
          Jean-Marie Dufour
          Abdeljelil Farhat
          Lucien Gardiol
          Lynda Khalaf (Universite Laval)
  2. Simulation Based Tests for Normality
          Kuan Xu
          Gordon Fisher
          Douglas Willson (Concordia University)
  3. Tests for Stochastic Dominance Based on Alpha-Mixing

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 81

  1. Earnings Inequality, Working Time and Wages Among Men and Women in Canada
          James B. Davies (University of Western Ontario)
  2. Wealth Inequality and Age
          Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University)
  3. Economic Growth, Income Distribution and Economic Welfare
          Ross Finnie (Stats Canada/Carleton University)
  4. Market Income Poverty Dynamics in Canada: A Longitudinal Analysis Using the LAD

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 82

  1. Is the Inflation Process State-Contingent?
          Iris Claus (Bank of Canada)
  2. A Decomposition of U.S. Inflation into its Trend and Cyclical Components
          Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University)
  3. A Note on the Link Between Inflation and Output Variability in Canada

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 10:20 - 11:50, Room T.B.A.
Session 100

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 12:00 - 1:30, Faculty of Business
CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY (CPP) EDITORIAL BOARD LUNCHEON

Chair / Président: Charles Beach (Queen's University)

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 12:00 - 1:30, Seabright Boardroom
CWEN LUNCHEON

Chair / Président: Shelley Phipps (Dalhousie University)

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 1:30 - 2:30, Room T.B.A.
GENERAL MEETING OF THE ASSOCIATION

SUNDAY JUNE 8, 2:30 - 4:00, Room T.B.A.
EXECUTIVE COUNCIL MEETING

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