1998 Conference Program

This conference program was last updated on Sunday, June 10, 2001

Thursday May 28, 8:30 - 09:15 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: OPENING / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: OUVERTURE

1. Welcoming Remarks
         W. Craig Riddell (University of British Columbia and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)
2. New Federal-Provincial Partnerships and Information Needs
         Jim Armstrong (Centre for Strategic Management)

Thursday May 28, 9:30 - 11:30 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: THE FAMILY / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: LA FAMILLE

Chair / Président: Charles Beach (Queen's University)

1. Family Income After Separation
         Diane Galarneau (Statistics Canada)
         Jim Sturrock (Statistics Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Douglas Norris (Statistics Canada)
2. Death and Divorce: The Long-Term Consequences of Parental Loss
         Miles Corak (Statistics Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Frances Woolley (Carleton University)
3. Multivariate Duration Models, Labour Supply and the Presence of Young Children
         Padma Rao Sahib (Concordia University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Francis Woolley (Concordia University)
4. Economic Circumstances and the Stability of Non-Marital Cohabitation
         Zheng Wu (University of Victoria)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Guy Lacroix (Universite Laval)

Thursday May 28, 11:45 - 12:45 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: INCOME DYNAMICS I / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: LA DYNAMIQUE DU REVENU I

Chair / Président: Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)

1. La dynamique du travail et du revenu dans le secteur culturel canadien
         Benoit Laplante (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Luc Perron (Heritage Canada)
2. Income and Employment Dynamics in Rural Areas: The Risk of Social Exclusion
         Esperanza Vera-Toscana (St. Mary's - King's College)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University)

Thursday May 28, 12:45 - 2:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.


LUNCH BREAK

Thursday May 28, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: INCOME DYNAMICS II / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: LA DYNAMIQUE DU REVENU II

1. Earnings Dynamics
         David M. Gray (University of Ottawa)
         Ross Finnie (Queens University and Statistics Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Rene Morrissette (Statistics Canada)
2. In and Out of the Labour Market: Long-Term Income Consequences of Interruptions in Women's Paid Work
         Shelley Phipps (Dalhousie University)
         Peter Burton (Dalhousie University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Nicole Fortin (Universite de Montreal)

Thursday May 28, 3:00 - 6:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CEA Executive Council Meeting

Thursday May 28, 3:15 - 5:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: DYNAMIQUE DE L'EMPLOI

Chair / Président: Michael McCracken (Informetrica Ltd.)

1. Transition from Labour Market to Retirement: Determinants of Canada Pension Plan Take-Up
         Emile Tompa (McMaster University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         John Myles (Florida State University and Statistics Canada)
2. Adverse Selection and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the Canadian Out-of-Employment Panel
         Kevin Lang (Boston University)
         Nuria Rodriguez-Planas (Boston University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Lori G. Kletzer (University of California, Santa Cruz)
3. What Do People Do When They Are Laid Off?
         Paul Bernard (Universite de Montreal)
         Stephane Crespo (Universite de Montreal)
         Johanne Boisjoly (Universite du Quebec a Rimouski)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Arthur Sweetman (University of Victoria)
4. Hirings and Separations from the Canadian Labour Force Survey
         Georges Lemaitre (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Deborah Sunter (Statistics Canada)

Thursday May 28, 6:30 - 8:00 p.m. , Room T.B.A.
CERF Reception

Thursday May 28, 6:30 - 9:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
PAST PRESIDENT'S DINNER / DÎNER DES ANCIENS PRÉSIDENTS

1. 18:30 Cocktails
2. 19:30 Dinner for past presidents and Executive Council members / pour les anciens présidents et les membres du Conseil de Direction

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: YOUTH / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: LES JEUNES

Chair / Président: Jean-Pierre Voyer (Human Resources Development Canada)

1. A Dynamic Analysis of the School-to-Work Transition of Post-Secondary Graduates
         Ross Finnie (Queens University and Statistics Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Christopher Ferrall (Queens University)
2. Estimating the Earnings Losses of Young Displaced Workers
         Lori G. Kletzer (University of California, Santa Cruz)
         Robert W. Fairlie (University of California, Santa Cruz)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Marc Van Audenrode (Universite Laval)
3. The Re-employment Outcomes of Youth
         Ging Wong (Human Resources Development Canada)
         Christopher Riddell (Human Resources Development Canada)
         Gordon Dicks (Human Resources Development Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Gordon Betcherman (Queens University and Canadian Policy Research Network)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CABE/THE FUTURE OF THE CANADIAN FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR / L'AVENIR DU SECTEUR CANADIEN DES SERVICES FINANCIERS

Organizer / Organisateur: Joseph Schulman

Chair / Président: Ron Crowley (Business Development Bank)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Tim O'Neill (Bank of Montreal)
      Frank Milne (Queens University)
      Mark Daniels (Canadian Life and Health Insurance Association)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
PRICING MUNICIPAL SERVICES: WATER AND HOUSEHOLD WASTE / DÉTERMINATION DES PRIX POUR LES SERVICES MUNICIPAUX: L'EAU ET LES DÉCHETS MÉNAGERS

Chair / Président: Jack L. Knetsch (Simon Fraser University)

1. Household Refuse Production: The Impact of Waste Collection Charges through the Pick-up Frequency
         Ida Ferrara (York University)
2. An Assessment of the Impact of a Provincial Water Use Charge
         Steven Renzetti (Brock University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MARKET LINKAGES / LIENS INTERNATIONAUX DU MARCHÉ DU CAPITAL

Chair / Président: Alain Paquet (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)

1. Cointegration and the Canada-US Term Structures
         Walid Hejazi (University of Toronto)
2. Is the European Capital Market Ready for the Single Currency?
         Mike Bowe (Manchester School of Management)
         Nikolaos Mylonidis (Manchester School of Management)
3. Canada-US Interest Rate Differential
         Ramdane Djoudad (Bank of Canada)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30-10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
INFORMATION AND CONTRACT STRUCTURE / INFORMATION ET STRUCTURE DES CONTRATS

Chair / Président: Mukesh Eswaran (University of British Columbia)

1. Information Structure, Labour Contracts and the Strategic Use of Debt
         Kais Dachraoui (Universite de Montreal)
         Georges Dionne (Universite de Montreal)
2. Limited Liability and Incentive Contracting with Labour Moral Hazard and Technique Moral Hazard
         Mohammed Souheil Haddad (Universite de Montreal)
3. Partnership Markets under Adverse Selection
         Greg Dow (Simon Fraser University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CWEN/MODELING HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOUR: COHABITATION, MARRIAGE, AND DIVORCE / MODÉLISATION DU COMPORTEMENT DES MÉNAGES: COHABITATION, MARIAGE ET DIVORCE

Chair / Président: Roberta Robb (Brock University)

1. A Theoretical Analysis of Joint Custody Arrangements
         Marci Bearance (University of Victoria)
         Linda Welling (University of Victoria)
2. "Living in Sin" and Marriage: A Matching Model with Learning
         Padma Rao Sahib (Concordia University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
ECONOMICS OF REGULATION / ÉCONOMIE DE LA RÉGLEMENTATION

Chair / Président: Donald McFetridge (Carleton University)

1. An Empirical Analysis of the Nuclear Liability Act (1970) in Canada
         Anthony Heyes (University of London)
         Catherine Heyes (University of London)
2. Impact of Regulatory Agencies on the Efficiency of Publicly-Owned Utilities
         Michel Roland (Universite Laval)
         Jean-Thomas Bernard (Universite Laval)
         Mohamed Nouhi (Universite Laval)
3. 2-Stage Enforcement and Regulatory Polarization: A Simple Model with Application to the USEPA
         Joseph Doucet (Universite Laval)
         Anthony Heyes (University of London)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
DEMAND ESTIMATION / ESTIMATION DE LA DEMANDE

Chair / Président: Lynda Khalaf (Universite Laval)

1. The Rank of Demand Systems: An Empirical Analysis Using United States Microdata
         Christopher Nicol (University of Regina)
2. Two-Step Estimation of Discrete/Continuous Econometric Models with Interdependent Multinomial Choices: Theory and Application to the Quebec Residential Demand for Electricity
         Denis Bolduc (Universite Laval)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 9:00 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
SURVEYS OF DEVELOPMENTS IN ECONOMICS I / SOMMAIRES DE DÉVELOPPEMENTS EN SCIENCE ÉCONOMIQUE I

Chair / Président: Richard Harris (Simon Fraser University and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

1. Endogenous Growth
         Peter Howitt (Ohio State University and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 9:00 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
DETERMINANTS OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE AND COMPETITIVENESS / FACTEURS DÉTERMINANTS DES AVANTAGES COMPARATIFS ET DE LA COMPÉTITIVITÉ

Chair / Président: Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)

1. Manufacturing Competitiveness and the Structure of Incentives in Mali
         J. Cockburn (Concordia University)
         Eckhard Siggel (Concordia University)
         M. Coulibali (Concordia University)
         S. Vezina (Concordia University)
2. Determinants of Comparative Advantage in International Art Trade
         Emmanuel Nyahoho (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:00 - 10:20 a.m., Room T.B.A.


BREAK

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CABE/CSLS/WHAT EXPLAINS THE GAP IN CANADA-US MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIVITY? / CE QUI EXPLIQUE L'ÉCART ENTRE LA PRODUCTIVITÉ MANUFACTURIÈRE CANADIENNE ET AMÉRICAINE

Organizer / Organisateur: Andrew Sharpe

Chair / Président: Denis Gauthier (Industry Canada)

1. Explanations of the Canada-US Manufacturing Productivity Gap
         Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)
2. Productivity and Cost Performance: Canada Versus the United States
         Sunder Magun (Applied International Economics)
3. The Role of Small Business in the Persistence of the Canada-US Manufacturing Productivity Gap
         Don Daly (York University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
THE SECOND BARRY COZIER SEMINAR ON MACROECONOMIC THEORY AND POLICY / DEUXIÈME SÉMINAIRE BARRY COZIER SUR LA THÉORIE ET LA POLITIQUE MACROÉCONOMIQUE

Organizer / Organisateur: Michael Parkin

Chair / Président: Michael Parkin (University of Western Ontario)

1. A General Equilibrium Model with Liquidity Effects and Market Frictions
         Scott Hendry (Bank of Canada)
         Guang Zhang (Bank of Canada)
2. The Evolution of Money, Markets and Firms
         Peter Howitt (Ohio State University and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)
3. The United Kingdom's Experience with Inflation Targeting
         Timothy Lane (International Monetary Fund)
         Skander Van Den Heuvel (Yale University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
TIME SERIES AND PANEL DATA / SÉRIES TEMPORELLES ET DONNÉES LONGITUDINALES

Chair / Président: Tom McCurdy (University of Toronto)

1. Nested Random Effects Estimation in Unbalanced Panel Data
         Werner Antweiler (University of British Columbia)
2. Structural Breaks, Trimming Rules and the Bootstrap
         Jean-Francois Lamarche (Queen's University)
3. Stumpage Prices and Geometric Brownian Motion: An Application to Pacific Northwest National Forest
         Jean-Daniel Saphores (Universite Laval)
         Lynda Khalaf (Universite Laval)
         Denis Pelletier (Universite Laval)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
LABOUR AND PRODUCT MARKET BEHAVIOUR / TRAVAIL ET COMPORTEMENT DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL ET DES PRODUITS

Chair / Président: Julian Betts (University of California, San Diego)

1. A Life Cycle Model of Human Capital
         David Scoones (University of Victoria)
2. Product Market Power and the Size Wage Differential
         Shouyong Shi (Queen's University)
3. The Ratchet Effect in a Symmetric Cournot Oligopoly
         Robert D. Cairns (McGill University)
         Antoine Soubeyran (Universite d'Aix-Marseille II)
   Discussants / Commentaires:
         Christopher McKenna (University of Guelph)
         Greg Dow (Simon Fraser University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
THEORETICAL PUBLIC ECONOMICS: TAXATION / ÉCONOMIE PUBLIQUE THÉORIQUE: FISCALITÉ

Chair / Président: Jonathan Kesselman (University of British Columbia)

1. Optimal Taxation in Economies with Housing and Business Capital
         Martin Gervais (University of Western Ontario)
         Andres Erosa (University of Western Ontario)
2. The Optimal Linear Taxation of Employment and Self-Employment Incomes
         Simon Parker (Brunel University)
3. Do New Forms of Intermediation Reduce a Government's Power to Tax?
         Paul M. Anglin (University of Windsor)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
REAL BUSINESS CYCLES / CYCLES ÉCONOMIQUES RÉELS

Chair / Président: Jeremy Rudin (Department of Finance)

1. Intergenerational Transfers of Time and Home Production in General Equilibrium
         Emanuela Cardia (Universite de Montreal)
         Serena Ng (Boston College)
2. Liquidity Constraints and Business Cycles in Developing Economies
         Benoit Carmichael (Universite Laval)
         Sikoro Keite (Royal Military College of Canada)
         Lucie Samson (Universite Laval)
3. International Business Cycles Without Calibration
         Marc-Andre Letendre

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
BEHAVIOUR IN MARKETS WITH DIFFERENTIATED PRODUCTS / COMPORTEMENT SUR LES MARCHÉS DE PRODUITS DIFFÉRENTIÉS

Chair / Président: Mak Arvin (Trent University)

1. Quality Competition in a Dynamic Experience Good Industry
         Greg LeBlanc (Concordia University)
2. Exit and Product Selection
         Can Erutku (Universite Laval)
3. Urban Sprawl and Product Specialization: Mergers in a Cournot Model of Spatial Competition
         George Norman (Tufts University)
         Lynne Marie Pepall (Tufts University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
TEACHING OF ECONOMICS I / ENSEIGNEMENT DE L'ÉCONOMIE I

Chair / Président: Alice Nakamura (University of Alberta)

1. The Relationship Between Student Learning and Course Evaluation Responses
         Bradford G. Reid (University of Alberta)
         David L. Ryan (University of Alberta)
2. The Use of E-Stat in Teaching Economics
         Robert Dimand (Brock University)
         Lewis Soroka (Brock University)
         Joel Yan (Statistics Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Felice Martinello (Brock University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 12:20 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE / LES TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: ASSURANCE-CHÔMAGE

Chair / Président: Norine Smith (Human Resources Development Canada)

1. Structural Estimation of the Effects of UI Benefits in Search Activities
         Christian Belzil (Concordia University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Bruce Shearer (Universite Laval)
2. Job Starts and Job Finds: Does UI Subsidize Search or Leisure?
         Thomas F. Crossley (York University)
         Pokman Chak (York University)
         Peter Kuhn (McMaster University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Miles Corak (Statistics Canada)
3. Reclamation de l'assurnace-chomage et retour sur le marche du travail
         Jean-Francois Bertrand (Universite Laval)
         Marc Van Audenrode (Universite Laval)
         Jean-Yves Duclos (Universite Laval)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         David Green (University of British Columbia)
4. Evaluation of How Canadians Adjusted to the 1994 UI Reforms: Results to Date
         Ging Wong (Human Resources Development Canada)
   Panelists / Panélistes:
         Peter Kuhn (McMaster University)
         Marc Van Audenrode (Universite Laval)
         Thomas F. Crossley (York University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 12:20 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CURRENCY CRISES / CRISES DE DEVISES

Organizer / Organisateur: Lawrence L. Schembri (Bank of Canada)

Chair / Président: John Murray (Bank of Canada)

1. Fundamentals, contagion and currency crises: An empirical analysis
         Mark Kruger (Bank of Canada)
         Patrick Osakwe (Bank of Canada)
         Jennifer Page (Bank of Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Kirsta Glenn (American University in Bulgaria)
2. The Use of a Hazard Model to Empirically Estimate Currency Crashes in High Inflation Economies
         Kirsta Glenn (American University in Bulgaria)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Robert Lafrance (Bank of Canada)
3. Flexible Exchange Rates, Currency Crises and Output Stability: The Case of Mexico
         John Murray (Bank of Canada)
         Patrick Osakwe (Bank of Canada)
         Lawrence L. Schembri (Bank of Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Gregor Smith (Queen's University)
4. On Balance of Payments Assistance
         Patrick Georges (Department of Finance)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Lawrence L. Schembri (Bank of Canada)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 10:20 - 12:20 p.m., Room T.B.A.
DYNAMICS OF WAGES AND PRICES / DYNAMIQUE DES PRIX ET DES SALAIRES

Chair / Président: Pierre Fortin (Universite du Quebec a Montreal and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

1. Downward Nominal-Wage Rigidity and the Short-Run Phillips Curve
         Seamus Hogan (Bank of Canada)
         Lise Pichette (Bank of Canada)
2. Inflation and Relative Price Variability in a Transforming Economy
         Jerzy D. Konieczny (Wilfrid Laurier University)
3. Employment and Nominal Wage Rigidity
         Jean Fares (Bank of Canada)
         Seamus Hogan (Bank of Canada)
4. On the Downward Ridigity of Nominal Wages and Prices: The Real Debt Resistance Hypothesis
         Javid Taheri (Saint Mary's University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 12:00 - 1:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS EDITORIAL BOARD LUNCHEON / DÉJEUNER RCÉ (COMITÉ DE RÉDACTION)

Chair / Président: James Brander (University of British Columbia)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:30 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: LOW INCOME / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: FAIBLE REVENU

Chair / Président: Mike Sheridan (Statistics Canada)

1. The Persistence of Low Income Spells in Canada, 1982 - 1993
         Mireille Laroche (Department of Finance)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         TBA
2. Movement Into and Out of Low Incomes: Is It Due to Changes in Labour Market Conditions or Family Formation
         Nathalie Noreau (Statistics Canada)
         Garnett Picot (Statistics Canada)
         Myles Zyblock (Statistics Canada)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Denise J. Doiron (University of Sydney)
3. The Impact of Minimum Wage Increases on the Employment and Earnings of Low-Wage Workers: A Dynamic Analysis Using Longitudinal Data
         Jane Friesen (Simon Fraser University)
         Krishna Pendakur (Simon Fraser University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Thomas Lemieux (Universite de Montreal)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
BANK OF CANADA MONETARY REPORT / RAPPORT MONÉTAIRE DE LA BANQUE DU CANADA

Organizer / Organisateur: Thomas K. Rymes

Chair / Président: Thomas K. Rymes (Carleton University)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Charles Freedman (Bank of Canada)
      Carl Sonnen (Informetrica)
      Pierre Siklos (Wilfred Laurier University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CSLS/WHAT IS THE PURCHASING POWER PARITY VALUE OF THE CANADIAN DOLLAR? / QUELLE EST LA VALEUR DE LA PARITÉ DU POUVOIR D'ACHAT DU HUARD CANADIEN?

Organizer / Organisateur: Andrew Sharpe

Chair / Président: David Slater (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)

1. Purchasing Power Estimates for Canada and Implications for Volume Comparisons
         Katherine Kemp (Statistics Canada)
         Gaston Levesque (Statistics Canada)
2. What Impact Does the Choice of Formula Have on International Comparisons?
         Keir Armstrong (Carleton University)
3. Bilateral and Multilateral Estimates of the Relative Purchasing Power of the Canadian and U.S. Dollars
         Robert Hill (University of New South Wales)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
THE ECONOMICS OF HOCKEY / L'ÉCONOMIE DU HOCKEY

Organizer / Organisateur: Marc Lavoie

Chair / Président: Gilles Grenier (University of Ottawa)

1. Pay, Performance and Competitive Balance in the National Hockey League
         David Richardson (St. Lawrence University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Philippe Cyrenne (University of Winnipeg)
2. Locating Entry and Pay Discrimination in the National Hockey League
         Marc Lavoie (University of Ottawa)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Serge Nadeau (Industry Canada)
3. Discrimination in the NHL: Fan Prejudices
         Jim Sentance (University of Prince Edward Island)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Serge Nadeau (Industry Canada)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
GROWTH THEORY / THÉORIE DE LA CROISSANCE

Chair / Président: Shouyong Shi (Queen's University)

1. Endogenous Growth When Unskilled Labour is Abundant
         Peter Robertson (University of New South Wales)
2. Effects of Persistent Unemployment on Long Run Growth
         Alberto Alonso (Universidad Complutense)
         Cristina Echevarria (University of Saskatchewan)
3. Optimal Growth with Habit Formation in Consumption
         Aylin Seckin (Carleton University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
ECONOMIES IN TRANSITION / ÉCONOMIES DE TRANSITION

Chair / Président: Thomas Borcherding (Claremont Graduate University)

1. Coordination Failures and Government Policy: Evidence from Economies in Transition
         J. Stephen Ferris (Carleton University)
         Kishore Gawande (University of New Mexico)
2. Russian Mafia, Unenforceable Property Rights, and Tax Revenue Shortfall
         Vladimir Ivanenko (University of Western Ontario)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS I - GROUP INCENTIVES / ÉCONOMIE EXPÉRIMENTALE I - LES INCITATIONS DE GROUPE

Chair / Président: Leonard S. Wilson (University of Alberta)

1. Crowding Out Voluntary Contributions to Public Goods
         Stuart Mestelman (McMaster University)
         Kenneth Chan (McMaster University)
         Rob Godby (University of Wyoming)
         Andrew Muller (McMaster University)
2. Testing Incentive Mechanisms in Collective Action Environments: Eliciting Cooperation
         Rob Moir (University of New Brunswick)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
EVALUATION OF THE REPORT OF THE TECHNICAL COMMITTEE ON BUSINESS TAXATION / EVALUATION DU RAPPORT DU COMITÉ TECHNIQUE SUR LA FISCALITÉ DES ENTREPRISES

Organizer / Organisateur: Jack Mintz

Chair / Président: David Dodge (University of British Columbia and Simon Fraser University)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Paul Boothe (University of Alberta)
      Tom Wilson (University of Toronto)
      Jean-Yves Duclos (Universite Laval)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
DESIGN AND ADOPTION OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES / CONCEPTION ET ADOPTION DE NOUVELLES TECHNOLOGIES

Chair / Président: George Sciadis (Statistics Canada)

1. Organizational Design of R and D Activities
         Stefan Ambec (Universite de Montreal)
         Michel Poitevin (Universite de Montreal)
2. Benefits from Technology Sharing
         Caroline Boivin (Universite Concordia)
3. The Determinants of the Replacement of Manufacturing Technologies: The Role of Information Acquisition
         John Baldwin (Statistics Canada)
         Mohammed Rafiquzzaman (Industry Canada)
   Discussants / Commentaires:
         Huw Lloyd-Ellis (University of Toronto)
         John Hartwick (Queen's University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
SURVEYS OF DEVELOPMENTS IN ECONOMICS II / SOMMAIRES DE DÉVELOPPEMENTS EN SCIENCE ÉCONOMIQUE II

Chair / Président: James Brander (University of British Columbia)

1. Trade and the Environment
         Brian Copeland (University of British Columbia)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:15 - 3:30 p.m. , Room T.B.A.


BREAK

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
INDIVIDUAL AND MARKET BEHAVIOUR UNDER UNCERTAINTY / COMPORTEMENT DES INDIVIDUS ET DU MARCHÉ EN INCERTITUDE

Chair / Président: Christopher McKenna (University of Guelph)

1. Savings and $U'''(I)$
         John M. Hartwick (Queen's University)
2. Diffidence Theorem and State Dependent Preferences
         Marie-Gloriose Ingabire (Universite de Montreal)
3. Comparative Statics in First Price Auctions
         Bernard Lebrun (Universite Laval)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CERF/LABOUR MARKET TRANSITIONS: SOCIAL ASSISTANCE / TRANSITIONS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL: AIDE SOCIALE

Chair / Président: Ian McKinnon (Pacific Issues Partners)

1. The Dynamics of Income Assistance: Estimates from the Self-Sufficiency Project
         Christopher Ferrall (Queens University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Alice Nakamura (University of Alberta)
2. Welfare Benefit, Minimum Wage Rate and the Duration of Welfare Spells: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Canada
         Bernard Fortin (Universite Laval)
         Guy Lacroix (Universite Laval)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Dwayne Benjamin (University of Toronto)
3. The Effects of High School Graduation on Income Assistance Recipiency
         David Green (University of British Columbia)
         William Warburton (Government of British Columbia)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Martin Dooley (McMaster University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CABE/THE INTERNAL TRADE AGREEMENT AFTER ALMOST THREE YEARS / L'ACCORD DE COMMERCE INTERNE APRÈS PRESQUE TROIS ANS

Organizer / Organisateur: Patrick Grady

Chair / Président: Tom Wallace (Industry Canada)

1. The View from the Internal Trade Secretariat
         Andre Dimitrijevic (Internal Trade Secretariat)
2. A Report Card on the AIT After Three Years
         Patrick Grady (Global Economics)
         Katie Macmillan (ITPC)
3. The Federal Government View
         Tom Wallace (Industry Canada)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
MANAGEMENT OF OPEN ACCESS RESOURCES: THE FISHERY / GESTION DES RESSOURCES À ACCÈS LIBRE: LES PÊCHERIES

Chair / Président: Gordon Munro (University of British Columbia)

1. The Production of Regulatory Enforcement in the Atlantic Lobster Fishery
         William Furlong (University of Guelph)
         Tim Colwill (University of Guelph)
2. Fishing for the Future: Efficiency, Development and Artisanal Fisheries
         R. Quentin Grafton (University of Ottawa)
3. Cooperative Management Solutions to the "Tragedy of the Commons"
         Stephan Schott (University of Guelph)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
FINANCIAL ECONOMICS / ÉCONOMIE FINANCIÈRE

Chair / Président: Gregor Smith (Queen's University)

1. Stochastically Dominating Investment Styles for Risk Averse Investors
         Kuan Xu (Dalhousie University)
         Gordon Fisher (Concordia University)
2. Equilibrium Valuation of Options on the Market Portfolio with Stochastic Volatility and Return Predictability
         Melanie Cao (Queen's University)
3. Identifying Bull and Bear Markets in Stock Returns
         Tom McCurdy (University of Toronto)
         John Maheu (Queen's University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
MACRO-ECONOMETRICS I / MACROÉCONOMÉTRIE I

Chair / Président: Steven Ambler (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)

1. A Discussion on the Reliability of Results Obtained with Long-Run Identifying Restrictions
         Pierre St-Amant (Bank of Canada)
         David Tessier (Bank of Canada)
2. Fractional Cointegration Tests of Long-Run Macroeconomic Propositions
         Zisimos Koustas (Brock University)
3. A Log-Linear General Equilibrium Model with Applications to VAR Econometrics, Commodity Prices and Convergence
         Michael Sampson (Concordia University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
INDUSTRY STUDIES OF EFFICIENCY AND SCALE ECONOMIES /ÉTUDES INDUSTRIELLES SUR L'EFFICACITÉ ET LES RENDEMENTS À L'ÉCHELLE

Chair / Président: Harry Bloch (Curtin University)

1. Parametric and Frontier Non-Parametric Tests for Economies in the Provision of Canadian Cable Television Service
         Stephen Law (University of New Brunswick)
         James Nolan (University of New Brunswick)
2. Accounting for Capacity Utilization and Productivity Growth in the Australian Mining Industries: A Parametric Non-Frontier Approach
         Bassim Shebeb (University of Queensland)
         Harry Campbell (University of Queensland)
3. Issues of Efficiency in the Information Industries
         Antoine St-Pierre (University of California, Berkeley)
   Discussants / Commentaires:
         Jean-Thomas Bernard (Universite Laval)
         Stanley Kardasz (University of Waterloo)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
PROVINCIAL PUBLIC FINANCE / FINANCE PUBLIQUE PROVINCIALE

Chair / Président: Paul Boothe (University of Alberta)

1. Provincial Approaches to Deficit Reduction
         Ron Kneebone (University of Calgary)
         Kenneth McKenzie (University of Calgary)
2. Provincial Debt Ratings: Analysis and Forecasting
         Patrick Sabourin (Department of Finance)
3. Fiscal Capacity, Tax Effort and Program Spending -- A Framework for Interprovincial Comparisions
         Grant Harrison Smith (Alberta Treasury)
         Derek Hermanutz (Alberta Treasury)
         Dagmar Dyck (Alberta Treasury)
   Discussants / Commentaires:
         David Murrell (University of New Brunswick)
         Tracy Snodden (Wilfrid Laurier University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
INTERNATIONAL TRADE THEORY AND POLICY / THÉORIE ET POLITIQUE EN COMMERCE INTERNATIONAL

Chair / Président: Ulrich Kohli (University of Geneva)

1. Asymmetric Integration
         K.C. Fung (University of California, Santa Cruz)
         Patricia da Silva (University of California, Santa Cruz)
2. Trade Policies and Time Consistency in an Oligopsonistic World Market
         Jean-Phillippe Gervais (Iowa State University)
         Harvey E. Lapan (Iowa State University)
3. Export Market Correlation and Strategic Trade Policy
         Mahmudul Anam (York University)
         Shin-Hwan Chiang (York University)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CWEN/HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOUR IN DEVELOPING ECONOMIES / COMPORTEMENT DES MÉNAGES DANS LES ÉCONOMIES EN VOIE DE DÉVELOPPEMENT

Chair / Président: Ashok Kotwal (University of British Columbia)

1. A Theory of African Income Sharing Norm Within Enlarged Families
         Stefan Ambec (Universite de Montreal)
2. The Empowerment of Women, Fertility and Child Mortality: Towards a Theoretical Analysis
         Mukesh Eswaran (University of British Columbia)

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 5:15 - 6:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
HAROLD INNIS LECTURE / CONFÉRENCE HAROLD INNIS

Chair / Président: W. Craig Riddell (University of British Columbia and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

Presentation of the John Rae Prize / Présentation du prix John Rae

Introduction: Alice Nakamura (University of Alberta)

Speaker / Conférencier:
      Peter Kuhn (McMaster University)

1. Unions and the Economy: What We Know, What We Should Know

Friday May 29 / VENDREDI 29 MAI, 6:30 - 8:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
Reception Hosted by the Department of Economics, University of Ottawa and Addison Wesley Longman / Réception donnée par le département d'économie de l'Université d'Ottawa et Addison Wesley Longman

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
C.D.HOWE/THE FISCAL DIVIDEND FROM DEBT REDUCTION: SETTING BUDGET PRIORITIES / LE DIVIDENDE FISCAL RÉSULTANT DE LA DIMINUTION DE LA DETTE: L'ÉTABLISSEMENT DE PRIORITÉS BUDGÉTAIRES

Chair / Président: William Robson (C.D. Howe Institute)

Welcoming Remarks by Angela Ferrante (C.D. Howe Institute)

1. Accident-Proof Budgeting: Hitting Targets Amid Uncertainty
         William M. Scarth (McMaster University)
2. Redistributing Smarter: Self-Selection, Targeting, and Non-Conventional Policy Instruments
         Robin Boadway (Queens University)
3. Labour Market Opportunities for the Less Skilled: Can Fiscal Policy Help?
         Peter Kuhn (McMaster University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN ECONOMIC THEORY CONFERENCE / COLLOQUE CANADIEN DE THEORIE ECONOMIQUE I

Organizer / Organisateur: Michel Poitevin

1. Two Stage Search and Electronic Commerce
         Paul M. Anglin (University of Windsor)
2. Surplus Extraction and Competition
         Michael Peters (University of Toronto)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
EDUCATION AND EARNINGS / ÉDUCATION ET SALAIRES

Chair / Président: Dwayne Benjamin (University of Toronto)

1. A Test for Diminishing Returns to School Spending
         Julian R. Betts (University of California, San Diego)
         Eric Johnson (University of California, Riverside)
2. Ethnicity and Educational Outcomes
         Arthur Sweetman (University of Victoria)
3. Subjective Discount Rates, Unobserved Ability, Family Background and the Return to Schooling
         Christian Belzil (Concordia University)
         Jorgen Hansen (Universite de Montreal)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
POLICY AND GROWTH / POLITIQUES ET CROISSANCE

Chair / Président: J. Stephen Ferris (Carleton University)

1. Industrial Targeting and Growth
         German Echecopar (Universidad de Talca)
2. Taxation and Economic Performance: A Cross-Country Comparison and Model Sensitivity Analysis
         Jing Xu (Department of Finance)
3. Government Spending on Economic Services and Industrial Growth: An Empirical Analysis
         Sajid Anwar (Northern Territory University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY / POLITIQUES MONÉTAIRE ET FISCALE

Chair / Président: Stephen Poloz (The Bank Credit Analyst Research Group)

1. The Interaction of International Interest Rate Differentials with Fiscal and Monetary Policies and the Business Cycle
         Paul Fenton (Bank of Canada)
         Alain Paquet (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)
2. Inflation-Forecast Targeting and Changes in Monetary and Fiscal Credibility
         Robert Amano (Bank of Canada)
         Don Coletti (Bank of Canada)
         Tiff Macklem (Bank of Canada)
3. Accounting for the Transition in the Computation of the Welfare Benefits of Lower Inflation
         Kevin Moran (University of Rochester)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS / MARCHÉS DES DEVISES ÉTRANGÈRES

Chair / Président: Mike Bowe (Manchester School of Management)

1. Does PPP Hold After All? The Dollar-Pound Series (1800-1996) Revisited
         Roberto Fernandes Guimaraes-Filho (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
2. Currency Invoicing in International Trade: An Empirical Investigation
         S. Donnenfeld (York University)
         Alfred A. Haug (University of Canterbury and York University)
3. A Re-evaluation of the Canadian Experience with Floating Rates in the Post-WWII Period
         Patrick Crowley (Saint Mary's University)
         Bernd Kempa (University of Essen)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
TRADE AND INVESTMENT / COMMERCE INTERNATIONAL ET INVESTISSEMENT

Chair / Président: Eckhard Siggel (Concordia University)

1. FDI Liberalization and its Effects on Domestic Investment: Theoretical and Empirical Investigation for Developing Countries
         Pattama Teanravisitsagool (Carleton University)
2. Investment Decisions Under Capital Market Imperfections: Evidence from Turkey
         Cemile Sancak (Carleton University)
3. The Terms of Trade, Productivity Shocks and the Current Account
         Talan Iscan (Dalhousie University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
POVERTY: MEASUREMENT AND EXTENT / PAUVRETÉ: MESURE ET ÉTENDUE

Chair / Président: Charles Beach (Queen's University)

1. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Dominance and for the Measurement of Poverty and Inequality
         Jean-Yves Duclos (Universite Laval)
         Russell Davidson (GREQAM and Queen's University)
2. A Note on Inference for Generalized Gini Indices Using the Iterated Bootstrap Method
         Kuan Xu (Dalhousie University)
3. Differences in Poverty Intensity Within Canada
         Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University)
         Kuan Xu (Dalhousie University )

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CWEN/TESTING MODELS OF HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOUR / TESTS DE MODÈLES DU COMPORTEMENT DES MÉNAGES

Chair / Président: Alice Nakamura (University of Alberta)

1. Household Labour Supply, Sharing Rule and the Marriage Market
         Pierre-Andre Chiappori (University of Chicago)
         Bernard Fortin (Universite Laval)
         Guy Lacroix (Universite Laval)
2. Testing Nash Bargaining Household Models with Time Series Data: Divorce Law Reform and Female Suicide in Canada
         Christopher Adam (University of Oxford)
         John Hoddinott (International Food Policy Research Institute)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 9:00 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
SURVEYS OF DEVELOPMENTS IN ECONOMICS III / SOMMAIRES DE DÉVELOPPEMENTS EN SCIENCE ÉCONOMIQUE III

Chair / Président: John McCallum (Royal Bank)

1. How Much Do National Borders Matter?
         John Helliwell (University of British Columbia)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 9:00 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
VALUATION OF NON-MARKET BENEFITS / ÉVALUATION DES BÉNÉFICES PROVENANT DE MARCHÉS INFORMELS

Chair / Président: Paul C. Missios (York University)

1. Evidence of Differing Rates of Time Preferences: Hypothetical Bias, Confounding by the Endowment Effect, and Inappropriate Measures
         Jack L. Knetsch (Simon Fraser University)
2. Gender and Willingness-to-pay for Recreational Benefits
         Diane P. Dupont (Brock University)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Andrew Muller (McMaster University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:00 - 10:20 a.m., Room T.B.A.


Break

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN ECONOMIC THEORY CONFERENCE II / COLLOQUE CANADIEN DE THÉORIE ÉCONOMIQUE II

Organizer / Organisateur: Michel Poitevin

1. Collusion in a Model of Repeated Auctions
         Paul Johnson (Universite de Montreal)
         Jaques Robert (Universite de Montreal)
2. A Folk Theorem in Repeated Sequential Games
         Quan Wen (University of Windsor)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
THEORETICAL PUBLIC ECONOMICS: PUBLIC GOODS AND REGULATION / ÉCONOMIE PUBLIQUE THÉORIQUE: BIENS PUBLICS ET RÉGLEMENTATION

Chair / Président: Robin Boadway (Queen's University)

1. Optimal Contract Length for Private Production of Local Public Services
         Anne Ribault (Universite de Rennes)
2. Principal-Agent Problem in Regulatory Federalism: A Public Choice Perspective
         Mingtao Chen (University of Ottawa)
3. The Riskiness of Tax Revenue and Government Outlays: Implications for the Public Discount Rate
         Syed M. Ahsan (Concordia University)
         Peter Tsigaris (University College of the Cariboo)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
C.D. HOWE/PAYROLL TAXES: WHO PAYS, WHO BENEFITS AND WHY? / TAXES SUR LA MASSE SALARIALE: QUI PAIE, QUI BÉNÉFICIE ET POURQUOI?

Chair / Président: William M. Scarth (McMaster University)

1. Experience Rating Employment Insurance
         Munir Sheikh (Department of Finance)
2. Economics Versus Politics in Canadian Payroll Tax Policy
         Jonathan Kesselman (University of British Columbia)
3. Payroll Taxes as Job-Killers: Looking for the Victim
         Peter Dungan (University of Toronto)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
THE OCCUPATIONAL STRUCTURE OF WAGES and OCCUPATIONS / LA STRUCTURE PROFESSIONELLE DES SALAIRES ET DES PROFESSIONS

Organizer / Organisateur: Thomas Lemieux

Chair / Président: Thomas Lemieux (Universite de Montreal)

1. A Canada-US Comparison of the Effects of Occupational Gender Composition on Wages
         Michael Baker (University of Toronto)
         Nicole Fortin (Universite de Montreal)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Roberta Robb (Brock University)
2. Job Characteristics and the Form of Compensation
         Bentley MacLeod (University of Southern California)
         Daniel Parent (Universite de Sherbrooke)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Thomas F. Crossley (York University)
3. On the Elasticity of Effort for Piece Rates: Evidence from the British Columbia Tree-Planting Industry
         Harry Paarsch (University of Iowa)
         Bruce Shearer (Universite Laval)
   Discussant / Commentaire:
         Jean Fares (Bank of Canada)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
TEACHING OF ECONOMICS II / ENSEIGNEMENT DE L'ÉCONOMIE II

Chair / Président: R. Quentin Grafton (University of Ottawa)

1. Course Management and Delivery of Computer Resources in Economics
         Greg Flanagan (Mount Royal College)

, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
AGGREGATE EMPLOYMENT / EMPLOI AGRÉGÉ

Chair / Président: Paul Storer (Western Washington University)

1. Coordination Unemployment
         Ian King (University of Victoria)
         Benoit Julien (Concordia University / Victoria University of Wellington)
         John Kennes (Simon Fraser University)
2. Aggregate Employment, Real Business Cycles, and Superior Information
         Martin Boileau (University of Toronto)
         Michel Normandin (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)
3. Asymmetry and Duration Dependence in Australian GDP and Unemployment
         Philip M. Bodman (University of Queensland)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
EDUCATION, TRAINING AND YOUTH LABOUR MARKET OUTCOMES / ÉDUCATION, FORMATION ET LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL DES JEUNES

Chair / Président: Arthur Sweetman (University of Victoria)

1. College Quality and the Wages of Young Men
         Kermit Daniel (University of Pennsylvania)
         Dan Black (University of Kentucky)
         Jeffrey Smith (University of Western Ontario)
2. Sector-Specific On-the-Job Training: Evidence from US Data
         Lars Vilhuber (York University)
3. The Returns to Education and the Increasing Wage Gap Between Young and Older Workers
         Costa Kapsalis (Statistics Canada)
         Rene Morrissette (Statistics Canada)
         Garnett Picot (Statistics Canada)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
THE BEHAVIOUR OF PRICES IN OPEN ECONOMIES / LE COMPORTEMENT DES PRIX EN ÉCONOMIE OUVERTE

Chair / Président: Jean-Thomas Bernard (Universite Laval)

1. Cyclical and Competitive Influences on Pricing in a Small Open Economy: the Case of Australian Manufacturing
         Harry Bloch (Curtin University)
         Michael Olive (Curtin University)
2. Exchange Rate Pass Through in Canadian Manufacturing Industries
         Stanley Kardasz (University of Waterloo)
         Kenneth Stollery (University of Waterloo)
3. Using the Black Market to Price Discriminate: The Case of Cigarette Smuggling in Canada
         Christos Constantatos (Universite Laval)
         Bruno Larue (Universite Laval)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
INFORMATION AND MARKET BEHAVIOUR / INFORMATION ET COMPORTEMENT DES MARCHÉS

Chair / Président: Greg Dow (Simon Fraser University)

1. Credit Cards, Delinquencies and Adverse Selection
         Barry Scholnick (University of Alberta)
2. Asymmetric Information and the Role of Collateral in Farm Credit Markets
         James Vercammen (University of British Columbia)
3. Timing of Orders, Orders Aggressiveness and Order Book at the Paris Bourse
         Thierry Kamionka (Universite Toulouse)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 12:00 - 1:45 p.m., Room T.B.A.
DOUGLAS PURVIS MEMORIAL LUNCHEON (Fee event) / DÉJEUNER COMMÉMORATIF DOUGLAS PURVIS (évenement forfétaire)

Chair / Président: W. Craig Riddell (University of British Columbia and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

Speaker / Conférencier:
      David Dodge (University of British Columbia and Simon Fraser University)

1. Reflections on the Role of Fiscal Policy

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN ECONOMIC THEORY CONFERENCE III / COLLOQUE CANADIEN DE THEORIE ECONOMIQUE III

Organizer / Organisateur: Michel Poitevin

1. Specific Investment, Commitment and Observability
         Patrick Gonzalez (Universite Laval)
2. Optimal Structure of Agency with Product Complementarity and Substitutability
         Sergei Severinov (Stanford University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
FAMILY BACKGROUND AND INTERGENERATIONAL DYNAMICS / MILIEU FAMILIAL ET DYNAMIQUE INTERGÉNÉRATIONEL

Organizer / Organisateur: Miles Corak

Chair / Président: John Helliwell (Univerisity of British Columbia)

1. Intergenerational Income Mobility in Canada
         Nicole Fortin (Universite de Montreal)
         Sophie Lefebvre (Statistics Canada)
2. How to Get Ahead in Life: Some Correlates of Intergenerational Income Mobility in Canada
         Miles Corak (Statistics Canada)
         Andrew Heisz (Statistics Canada)
3. Child Psychiatric Disorders, Poor School Performance and Social Problems: The Roles of Family Structure and Low Income
         Martin Dooley (McMaster University)
         Lori Curtis (McMaster University)
         David Feeney (McMaster University)
         Ellen Lipman (McMaster University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CSLS/HRDC/WHAT EXPLAINS THE DECLINE IN LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION IN CANADA? I / QU'EST-CE QUI EXPLIQUE LA BAISSE DU TAUX DE PARTICIPATION AU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL CANADIEU I

Organizers / Organisateurs: Louis Grignon and Andrew Sharpe

Chair / Président: Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)

1. The Decline of the Youth Participation Rate: Structural or Cyclical
         Louis Grignon (Human Resources Development Canada)
         Richard Archambault (Human Resources Development Canada)
2. The Evolution of the Female Participation Rate in Canada, 1976-94: A Cohort Analysis
         Thomas Lemieux (Universite de Montreal)
         Paul Beaudry (University of British Columbia and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)
3. The Determinants of the Labour Force Participation Rate in Canada, 1967-96: Evidence from a Panel of Regions and Demographic Groups
         Pierre Fortin (Universite du Quebec a Montreal and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)
         Mario Fortin (Universite de Sherbrooke)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 1:45 - 3:15 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CABE/CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY AFTER KYOTO / POLITIQUES DE CHANGEMENT DE CLIMAT APRÈS KYOTO

Organizer / Organisateur: Joseph Schulman

Chair / Président: Vinay Bhardwaj (Alberta Power Limited)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Christopher Green (McGill University)
      John Dillon (Business Council on National Issues)
      Susan Kirby (Natural Resources Canada)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
AWARDING OF DOUGLAS PURVIS MEMORIAL PRIZE / DÉCERNEMENT DU PRIX COMMÉMORATIF DOUGLAS PURVIS

Chair / Président: Richard Harris (Simon Fraser University and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

1. The 1998 Douglas Purvis Prize Winner is Jonathan Kesselman for "General Payroll Taxes: Economics, Politics and Design" (Toronto: Canadian Tax Foundation)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
SURVEYS OF DEVELOPMENTS IN ECONOMICS IV / SOMMAIRES DE DÉVELOPPEMENTS EN SCIENCE ÉCONOMIQUE IV

Chair / Président: W. Craig Riddell (University of British Columbia and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

1. Education and the Labour Market
         David Card (University of California, Berkeley)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
THE BREAKDOWN OF THE FORMER SOVIET ECONOMY / LA DÉCONFITURE DE L'ÉCONOMIE SOVIÉTIQUE

Chair / Président: J. Stephen Ferris (Carleton University)

1. Dynamic Consistency in Incentive Planning with a Material Input
         Hugh M. Neary (University of British Columbia)
2. The Roots of Structural Change in the Former Soviet Economy
         Yuri Yevdokimov (University of Manitoba)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT / HISTOIRE DE LA PENSÉE ÉCONOMIQUE

Chair / Président: Thomas K. Rymes (Carleton University)

1. Irving Fisher on the International Transmission of Booms and Depressions Through Monetary Standards
         Robert Dimand (Brock University)
2. Adam Smith, David Ricardo and the International Diversification Puzzle
         Ingrid Peters-Fransen (Wilfrid Laurier University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
ECONOMICS OF PUBLIC AND PRIVATE HEALTH CARE / ÉCONOMIE DES SOINS DE LA SANTÉ PUBLICS ET PRIVÉS

Chair / Président: Ake Blomqvist (University of Western Ontario)

1. On the Coexistence of Public and Private Health Care Systems
         Philippe Cyrenne (University of Winnipeg)
2. Credibility and Renegotiation in Transition to a Parallel Private Health Care System
         Ugurhan G. Berkok (Royal Military College of Canada)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
PRODUCTIVITY IN CANADA AND THE UNITED STATES: FIRM LEVEL EVIDENCE / LA PRODUCTIVITÉ AU CANADA ET AUX ÉTATS UNIS

Chair / Président: Sunder Magun (Applied International Economics)

1. The Productivity Gap Between Canada and U.S.: Firm-Level Evidence
         Frank C. Lee (Industry Canada)
         Jianmin Tang (Industry Canada)
2. The Impact of Vintage and Age on Productivity: Evidence from Cohorts of US Manufacturing Plants
         J. Bradford Jensen (Carnegie Mellon University)
         Robert H. McGuckin (The Conference Board)
         Kevin J. Stiroh (The Conference Board)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 2:00 - 3:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
POLITICAL ECONOMY OF TRADE POLICY / ÉCONOMIE POLITIQUE DES POLIQUES EN COMMERCE INTERNATIONAL

Chair / Président: Werner Antweiler (University of British Columbia)

1. The Stolper Samuelson Theorem: Evidence from Congressional Voting Patterns on CUSTA, NAFTA and GATT
         Eugene Beaulieu (University of Calgary)
2. International Trade Policy: An Endogenous Preference of Trade Restriction over Trade Expansion
         Ram Acharya (University of Ottawa)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:15 - 3:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.


Break

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS II: TESTING GAME THEORETIC CONCEPTS / ÉCONOMIE EXPÉRIMENTALE II: TESTS DE CONCEPTS EN THÉORIE DES JEUX

Chair / Président: Stuart Mestelman (McMaster University)

1. Virtual Observability in Two Person Games
         Andrew Muller (McMaster University)
         Asha Sadanand (University of Guelph)
2. Exogenous Targeting Instruments with Heterogeneous Agents
         John Spraggon (McMaster University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN ECONOMIC THEORY CONFERENCE IV / COLLOQUE CANADIEN DE THEORIE ECONOMIQUE IV

Organizer / Organisateur: Michel Poitevin

1. Cooperative or Noncooperative Behaviour
         Yves Sprumont (Universite de Montreal)
2. Health Insurance, Moral Hazard and Managed Care
         Albert Ma (Boston University)
         Michael Riordan (Boston University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
THE ECONOMICS OF LANGUAGE / L'ÉCONOMIE DES LANGUES

Organizer / Organisateur: Albert Breton

Chair / Président: Albert Breton (University of Toronto)

1. Language and Virtual Economic Integration
         Richard Harris (Simon Fraser University and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)
2. National Languages and International Trade
         John Helliwell (University of British Columbia)
3. The Cultural Yield on Languages and Linguistic Assimilation
         Albert Breton (University of Toronto)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CSLS/HRDC/WHAT EXPLAINS THE DECLINE IN LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION IN CANADA? II / QU'EST-CE QUI EXPLIQUE LE DÉCLIN DU TAUX DE PARTICIPATION AU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL CANADIEU II?

Organizers / Organisateurs: Louis Grignon and Andrew Sharpe

Chair / Président: Jean-Pierre Voyer (Human Resources Development Canada)

1. Recent Patters of Participation Rates: A Canada-US Comparison
         Irene Ip (Bank of Canada)
         Sheryl King (Bank of Canada)
         Genevieve Verdier (Bank of Canada)
2. Trends in Participation Rates: The Role of School, Retirement and Discouragement
         Deborah Sunter (Statistics Canada)
3. Demographic Shifts and Participation Rates
         Benoit Robidoux (Department of Finance)
         Bob Dugan (Department of Finance)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CABE/THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR CANADA / LA PERSPECTIVE ÉCONOMIQUE CANADIENNE

Organizer / Organisateur: Joseph Schulman

Chair / Président: Joseph Schulman (Canadian Pacific Ltd.)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Stephen Poloz (The Bank Credit Analyst Research Group)
      Peter Dungan (University of Toronto)
      Clifford Halliwell (Department of Finance)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CEA/ECSAC/EUROPEAN ECONOMIC AND MONETARY UNION / L'UNION ÉCONOMIQUE ET MONÉTAIRE EUROPÉENNE

Organizer / Organisateur: David Long

Chair / Président: Stephen Clarkson (University of Toronto)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      James Dean (Simon Fraser University)
      Patrick Crowley (St. Mary's University)
      John Murray (Bank of Canada)
      Richard Corbett (Member of the European Parliament for Merseyside West)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CILN/ENDING WELFARE AS THEY KNEW IT: EARLY LESSONS FROM THE US WELFARE REFORM/ LA FIN DU AIDE SOCIÈTRE COMME ILS LE CONNAISSAIENT: LEÇONS PRÉLIMINAIRES DE LA RÉFORME SOCIALE AMÉRICAINE

Organizer / Organisateur: Martin Dooley

Chair / Président: Martin Dooley (McMaster University)

1. The Job Prospects of U.S. Welfare Recipients: Lousier Pay but Bigger Earnings Supplements
         Gary Burtless (The Brookings Institution)
2. A New Social Contract: Moving to a Work-Based Assistance System
         LaDonna Pavetti (Mathematica Policy Research)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
GROWTH EXPERIENCE IN CANADA / L'EXPÉRIENCE CANADIENNE EN MATIÈ DE CROISSANCE

Chair / Président: Richard Harris (Simon Fraser University and Canadian Institute for Advanced Research)

1. Foreign Direct Investment and Productivity Growth in Canada
         Surendra Gera (Industry Canada)
         Wulong Gu (Industry Canada)
         Frank C. Lee (Industry Canada)
2. Productivity Performance and International Competitiveness: The Canadian Experience
         Ehsan U. Choudhri (Carleton University)
         Lawrence L. Schembri (Bank of Canada)
3. Human Capital and Regional Convergence in Canada
         Serge Coulombe (University of Ottawa)
         Jean-Francois Tremblay (Queen's University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
ISSUES IN MONETARY POLICY / QUESTIONS DE POLITIQUES MONÉTAIRES

Chair / Président: Seamus Hogan (Bank of Canada)

1. Budget Deficits and Inflation: An Investigation in Light of the Roles of Central Bank Independence and Financial Market Development
         Bilin Neyapti (Bilkent University)
2. Simplicity Versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules When Agents Must Learn
         Robert J. Tetlow (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve)
         Peter von zur Muehlen (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve)
3. Putting Money Back Into Monetary Policy
         Pierre Siklos (Wilfrid Laurier University)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
MACRO-ECONOMETRICS II / MACROÉCONOMÉTRIE II

Chair / Président: Lucie Samson (Universite Laval)

1. Measuring Potential Output within a State-Space Framework
         Maral Kichian (Bank of Canada)
2. Predicting Canadian Recessions Using Financial Variables: A Probit Approach
         Joseph Atta-Mensah (Bank of Canada)
         Greg Tkacz (Bank of Canada)
3. Forecasting Asymmetric Unemployment Rate; A Comparison Among Standard Linear and Non-Linear Time Series and Artificial Neural Network Models
         Saeed Moshiri (University of Manitoba)
         Laura Brown (University of Manitoba)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
APPLIED PUBLIC ECONOMICS: POLICY FORMULATION AND EVALUATION / ÉCONOMIE PUBLIQUE APPLIQUÉE: FORMULATION ET ÉVALUATION DE POLITIQUES

Chair / Président: Stanley Winer (Carleton University)

1. Administrative Restructuring and Local Fiscal Capacity: With an Evaluation of Toronto Mega City
         Muhammed N. Islam (Concordia University)
2. Privatizing Public Housing: Lessons from US Allowances Under Section 8, and Canadian Housing Allowances
         Marion Steele (University of Guelph)
3. From OAS/GIS to the Senior Benefit: A Dynamic Micro-Simulation Assessment
         Roderick Hill (University of New Brunswick)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 3:30 - 5:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
JOB CHARACTERISTICS: WAGES, HOURS AND DURATION / CARACTÉRISTIQUES D'EMPLOI: SALAIRES, HEURES ET DURÉE

Chair / Président: Garnett Picot (Statistics Canada)

1. Hours Constraints and Wages: Models and Evidence
         Denise J. Doiron (University of Sydney)
2. The Effect of Overtime Pay Regulation on Hours and Earnings in Canada
         Jane Friesen (Simon Fraser University)
         Samuel Laryea (Simon Fraser University)
3. Are Jobs Less Stable in the Services Industry?
         Andrew Heisz (Statistics Canada)
         Sylvain Cote (Statistics Canada)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 5:15 - 6:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS / DISCOURS PRéSIDENTIEL

Chair / Président: Robin Boadway (Queen's University)

1. Unemployment, Inflation and Monetary Policy
         Michael Parkin (University of Western Ontario)

Saturday May 30 / SAMEDI 3 MAI, 6:30 - 7:45 p.m., Room T.B.A.


Reception of the Rector of the University of Ottawa

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CSLS/WHAT IS HAPPENING TO ECONOMIC WELL-BEING IN NORTH AMERICA? / QU'ADVIENT-IL AU BIEN-ÊTRE ÉCONOMIQUE EN AMÉRIQUE DU NORD?

Organizer / Organisateur: Andrew Sharpe

Chair / Président: Ian Stewart (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)

1. An Index of the Economic Well-Being of Canadians
         Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University)
         Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)
2. The State of Working America, 1998: An Overview
         Larry Mishel (Economic Policy Institute)
         John Schmidt (Economic Policy Institute)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN ECONOMIC THEORY CONFERENCE V / COLLOQUE CANADIEN DE THEORIE ECONOMIQUE V

Organizer / Organisateur: Michel Poitevin

1. Liquidity Constraints and Cycles
         Celine Rochon (CORE)
2. Optimal Justice in a General Equilibrium Model when Individual Productivities are not Observable
         Pierre Lasserre (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
GOVERNMENT FINANCES AND GENERATIONAL EQUITY / FINANCES GOUVERNEMENTALES ET ÉQUITÉ GÉ NÉRATIONELLE

Organizer / Organisateur: Miles Corak

Chair / Président: Miles Corak (Statistics Canada)

1. The Impacts of Changing Tax/Transfer Systems on the Lifetime Distribution of Net Taxes
         Brian Murphy (Statistics Canada)
2. Applying Generational Accounting to Canada: Findings and Fallacies
         Philip Oreopoulos (University of California, Berkeley)
         Francois Vaillancourt (Universite de Montreal)
3. Historical Generational Accounting with Heterogeneous Populations
         Michael Wolfson (Statistics Canada)
         Geoff Rowe (Statisitcs Canada)
         Xiaofen Lin (Statistics Canada)
         Steve Gribble (Statistics Canada)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 A.M., Room T.B.A.
CABE/PERSPECTIVES ON REGULATORY REFORM / ÉVALUATION DES RÉFORMES DE LA RÉGLEMENTATION

Organizer / Organisateur: Joseph Schulman

Chair / Président: George Hariton (Bell Canada)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Gilles Rheaume (The Conference Board of Canada)
      Don Mercer (Competition Bureau)
      Robert Howse (University of Toronto)
      Petrus van Bork (University of Toronto)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
MANAGEMENT OF RENEWABLE RESOURCES AND BIODIVERSITY / GESTION DES RESSOURCES RENOUVELABLES ET DE LA BIODIVERSITÉ

Chair / Président: Steven Renzetti (Brock University)

1. Optimal Sampling Intensity in Biodiversity Prospecting and the Financing of Conservation
         Paul C. Missios (York University)
2. Along the Way Back From the Brink
         Daniel Rondeau (Cornell University)
3. On the Effects of Unilateral Production Quotas of a Renewable Natural Resource
         Hassan Benchekroun (Universite Laval and Concordia University)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN FISCAL ISSUES / PROBLÈMES EN MATIÈRE DE FISCALITÉ CANADIENNE

Chair / Président: Patrick Grady (Global Economics)

1. The Potential for Lowering Federal Debt Service Charges: An Analysis of the Key Borrowing Instruments
         Fazley Siddiq (Dalhousie University)
2. The Regression Approach to Canadian Fiscal Capacity Measurement
         Grant Harrison Smith
3. The Relationship Between Public and Private Saving in Canada
         Oliver Franke (Alberta Treasury)
         Andrew Swales (Alberta Treasury)
         Wayne Tymchuk (Alberta Treasury)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
DIFFERENCES IN LABOUR MARKET OUTCOMES BY GENDER/ DIFFÉRENCES DANS LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL PAR SEXE

Chair / Président: Denise J. Doiron (University of Sydney)

1. Why is there Inter-Ethnic Variation in the Gender Wage Gap? The Role of "Cultural" Factors
         Heather Antecol (McMaster University)
2. Gender Differences in the Canadian Economy, With Some Comparisons to the United States
         Ronald G. Bodkin (University of Ottawa)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
ECONOMICS OF TRANSFER PRICING / L'ÉCONOMIE DES TRANSFERTS PAR LES PRIX

Chair / Président: Prescott Ensign (University of Western Ontario)

1. An Economic Analysis of the Transfer Pricing Guidelines
         David Hogan (KPMG)
2. The Optimal Design of Transfer Pricing Rules: A Non-Cooperative Analysis
         Pascalis Raimondos-Moller (Copenhagen Business School)
         Kimberley A. Scharf (University of Warwick)

Sunday May 31, 8:30 - 10:00 a.m., Room T.B.A.
MEASUREMENT ISSUES IN MACROECONOMICS / PROBLÈMES DE MESURES EN MACROÉCONOMIE

Chair / Président: Keir Armstrong (Carleton University)

1. Financing Constraints and Investment: A New Test Based on a Decomposition of Firm Profits
         Ward Brown (London School of Economics)
2. The Solow Residual with Adjustments for Varying Capacity Utilization and Composition Bias in the Labour Input
         Weiqiu Yu (University of New Brunswick)
         Jim MacGee (University of Minnesota)
3. Consumer Attitudes, Uncertainty and Consumer Spending
         Denise Cote (Bank of Canada)
         Marianne Johnson (Bank of Canada)

Sunday May 31, 10:00 - 10:20 a.m., Room T.B.A.


Break

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
POVERTY: IMPLICATIONS AND ALLEVIATION / PAUVRETÉ: IMPLICATIONS ET SOULAGEMENT

Chair / Président: Lars Osberg (Dalhousie)

1. The Impact of Family Status and Low Income on Child Health in the Ontario Child Health Study
         Lori Curtis (McMaster University)
         Ellen Lipman (McMaster University)
         Martin Dooley (McMaster University)
         David Feeney (McMaster University)
         Ellen Lipman (McMaster University)
2. An Efficiency Argument for the Guaranteed Income
         Karl Widerquist (Jerome Levy Economics Institute of Bard College)
         Michael A. Lewis (State University of New York at Stoney Brook)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CD HOWE/REFORMING CANADIAN FISCAL TRANSFERS / RÉ DES TRANSFERTS FISCAUX CANADIENS

Organizer / Organisateur: Paul Boothe

Chair / Président: Paul Boothe (University of Alberta)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Ken Boessenkool (CD Howe Institute)
      Paul Hobson (Acadia University)
      Wade Locke (Memorial University)
      William Robson (CD Howe Institute)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CSLS/WHAT CONSTRAINTS DOES GLOBALIZATION IMPOSE ON CANADIAN ECONOMIC POLICY? / QUELLES SONT LES CONTRAINTES QU'IMPOSE LA GLOBALISATION SUR LA POLITIQUE ÉCONOMIQUE CANADIENNE?

Organizer / Organisateur: Andrew Sharpe

Chair / Président: Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Study of Living Standards)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      John Helliwell (University of British Columbia)
      Harvey Lazar (Queen's University)
      William Watson (Ottawa Citizen)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
CANADIAN ECONOMIC THEORY CONFERENCE VI / COLLOQUE CANADIEN DE THEORIE ECONOMIQUE VI

Organizer / Organisateur: Michel Poitevin

1. An Economic Theory of Leadership Turnover
         Carolyn Pitchik (University of Toronto)
         Maria Gallego (Wilfrid Laurier University)
2. Globalization, Technological Progress and Incentives in the Public Sector
         Marcel Boyer (Universite de Montreal)
         Jean-Jaques Laffont (IDEI)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
EXPERIMENTAL AND NON-EXPERIMENTAL EVALUATION / ÉVALUATION EXPÉRIMENTALE ET NON-EXPÉRIMENTALE

Organizer / Organisateur: Jeffrey Smith

Chair / Président: Jeffrey Smith (University of Western Ontario)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Robert Lalonde (Michigan State University)
      John Greenwood (Social Research and Demonstration Corporation)
      Jeffrey Smith (University of Western Ontario)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
INFORMATION AND INCENTIVES IN THE MARKET FOR HEALTH CARE / INFORMATION ET INCITATIONS DANS LE MARCHÉ DES SOINS DE LA SANTÉ

Chair / Président: Lawrence McDonough (Royal Military College)

1. Monopolistic Competition and Supply-Side Cost Sharing in the Physician Services Market
         Ake Blomqvist (University of Western Ontario)
2. Quality Control Mechanisms under Capitation Payment for Medical Services
         Pierre T. Leger (University of Western Ontario)
3. Separating the "True Effect" from "Gaming" in Incentive-Based Contracts in Health Care
         Mingshan Lu (University of Calgary)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
ECONOMETRIC TESTING / TESTS ÉCONOMÉTRIQUES

Chair / Président: Christopher Nicol (University of Regina)

1. Gauss-Newton, Milliken-Graybill and Exact Misspecification Testing Using Artificial Regressions
         Ken Stewart (University of Victoria)
2. Monte Carlo Tests for Heteroscedasticity
         Jean-Thomas Bernard (Universite Laval)
         Jean-Marie Dufour (Universite de Montreal)
         Ian Genest (Universite Laval)
         Lynda Khalaf (Universite Laval)
3. Efficiency Analysis in Uncertain Operating Environments: The Problems with Outliers
         Kevin Fox (University of New South Wales)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
MONETARY POLICY IN CANADA / POLITIQUE MONÉTAIRE CANADIENNE

Chair / Président: Christopher Ragan (McGill University)

1. Re-estimating the Weights of the Monetary Conditions Index: A Cointegration Analysis
         George J. Georgopoulos (University of Toronto)
2. Les Effets Asymetriques de la Politique Monetaire sur L'emploi
         Lise Pichette (Bank of Canada)
3. Does Monetary Policy Push as Hard as It Pulls? A Look at the Interest Rate Channel
         Marie-Claude Montplaisir (Bank of Canada)
         Marianne Johnson (Bank of Canada)
         Genevieve Verdier (Bank of Canada)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
POLITICAL ECONOMY: NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL ISSUES / ÉCONOMIE POLITIQUE: PROBLÈMES NATIONAUX ET INTERNATIONAUX

Chair / Président: Hugh M. Neary (University of British Columbia)

1. Moral Hazard and Peacekeeping
         Dane Rowlands (Carleton University)
2. The Political Economy of Endogenous Election Timing with Two Levels of Government: The Canadian Case
         Maria Gallego (Wilfrid Laurier University)
3. A Causality Analysis of Untied Foreign Aid and Exports
         Mak Arvin (Trent University)
         Bruce Cater (Trent University)
         Saud Choudhry (Trent University)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
ADJUSTMENT TO CHANGE IN LABOUR AND PRODUCT MARKETS / ADAPTATION AUX CHANGEMENTS DU MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL ET DES MARCHÉS DE PRODUIT

Chair / Président: Felice Martinello (Brock University)

1. Technology and Skills: Sectoral Evidence in Canada
         Surendra Gera (Industry Canada)
         Wulong Gu (Industry Canada)
         Zhengxi Lin (Statistics Canada)
2. The Determinants of Survival for New Canadian Firms: A Characteristics-Based Approach
         John Baldwin (Statistics Canada)
         Richard Dupuy (Statistics Canada)
         Guy Gellatly (Statistics Canada)
3. Regional Youth Employment Patterns
         James Brox (University of Waterloo)
         Emanuel Carvalho (University of Waterloo)
         Clayton Newton (Union Gas)

Sunday May 31, 10:20 - 11:50 a.m., Room T.B.A.
FIRM BEHAVIOUR UNDER UNCERTAINTY / COMPORTEMENT DE LA FIRME EN INCERTITUDE

Chair / Président: Marie-Gloriose Ingabire (Universite de Montreal)

1. Asymmetric Risk and Risk Attitudes: Implications for Cournot-Nash Competition
         Assi Vincent Yapo (Universite Laval)
         Bruno Larue (Universite Laval)
2. The Sale of Durable Goods in a Stochastic Environment
         Gabriel Srour (Bank of Canada)
3. Technology Choice Under Uncertainty on the Demand
         Corinne Chaton (Universite de Toulouse)

Sunday May 31, 12:00 - 1:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.


Chair / Président: Charles Beach (Queen's University)

CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY EDITORIAL BOARD LUNCHEON / DÉJEUNER DU COMITÉ DE REDACTION DE L'ANALYSEDE POLITIQUES

Sunday May 31, 12:00 - 1:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.


Chair / Président: Roberta Robb (Brock University)

CANADIAN WOMEN'S ECONOMIC NETWORK LUNCHEON / DÉJEUNER DU CWEN

Sunday May 31, 1:30 - 2:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING OF THE CEA / ASSEMBLÉE GÉNÉRALE DE L'ACÉ

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CEA EXECUTIVE COUNCIL MEETING / RÉUNION DU CONSEIL DE DIRECTION DE L'ACÉ

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
INCOME SUPPORT PROGRAMS / PROGRAMMES POUR LE SOUTIEN DU REVENU

Chair / Président: Bernard Fortin (Universite Laval)

1. The Interaction of Employment Insurance, Social Assistance and the Labour Market
         Greg Brunette (BC Ministry of Human Resources)
2. Changes in the Composition of the Social Assistance Caseload in Ontario from 1983 - 1994
         Martin Dooley (McMaster University)
         Jennifer Stewart (McMaster University)
3. The Growth of Social Assistance Receipt in Canada - A Disaggregated Approach
         Alan A. Stark (University of British Columbia)

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
THE BEHAVIOUR OF SELF-EMPLOYMENT / LE COMPORTEMENT DU TRAVAIL AUTONOME

Chair / Président: Ging Wong (Human Resources Development Canada)

1. Survival Analysis of the Unincorporated Self-Employed in Canada
         Evangelia Papadaki (Industry Canada)
2. Taxes, Economic Conditions and the Recent Trends in Male Self-Employment: A Canada-US Comparison
         Herb Schuetze (McMaster University)
3. The Entry and Exit Dynamics of Self-Employment in Canada
         Zhengxi Lin (Statistics Canada)
         Janice Yates (Statistics Canada)
         Garnett Picot (Statistics Canada)

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
SSS/LEANING LEFT: PROGRESSIVE ECONOMICS IN A GLOBALIZED, POST-DEFICIT, POST-COMMUNIST WORLD / PENCHÉE VERS LA GAUCHE: ÉCONOMIE PROGRESSISTE DANS UN MONDE GLOBAL, POST-DÉFICITAIRE ET POST-COMMUNISTE

Chair / Président: Mel Watkins (University of Toronto)
Panelists / Panélistes:
      Barbara Cameron (York University)
      Gideon Rosenbluth (University of British Columbia)
      Gilles Dostaler (Universite du Quebec a Montreal)
      Anwar Shaikh (New School for Social Research, New York)

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
ISSUES IN DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS / PROBLÈMES EN ÉCONOMIE DU DÉVELOPPEMENT

Chair / Président: Richard Barichello (University of British Columbia)

1. Estimating Economies of Size in Household Consumption in a Developing, Rural Economy
          Najma R. Sharif (Saint Mary's University)
2. TVE Growth and the Chinese Developmental State
         Marion E. Jones (University of Regina)
         Michelle S. Mood (Providence College)

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:00 p.m., Room T.B.A.
ISSUES IN ECONOMIC THEORY / PROBLÈMES EN THÉORIE ÉCONOMIQUE

Chair / Président: Paul M. Anglin (University of Windsor)

1. The Efficiency Implications of Shortlisting in Economic Contests
         J. Atsu Amegashie (Dalhousie University)
2. Modelling That Problem Set Which Is Team Production
         Larry Levine (University of New Brunswick)

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY ANALYSIS / ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES EN MATIÈRE D'ENVIRONNEMENT

Chair / Président: Joseph Doucet (Universite Laval)

1. Environmental Grandfather Clauses and Competition: A "New Regulatory Economics" Approach
         Marc Duhamel (University of British Columbia)
2. Implementing the Kyoto Accord in Canada: The Domestic Cost and Inter-provincial Effects
         Amelia Yiannaka (University of Saskatchewan)
         Hartley Furtan (University of Saskatchewan)
         Richard Gray (University of Sasketchewan)
3. Firms' Investment Decisions Under Regulation: The Case of Marketable Allowances
         Milan Jayasinghe (University of Ottawa and Carleton University)
4. Revenue Recylcing Policies Under Uncertainty
         Eftichios S. Sartzetakis (University College of the Cariboo)
         Peter Tsigaris (University College of the Cariboo)

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
CROSS-COUNTRY DIFFERENCES IN GROWTH RATES / DIFFÉRENCES INTERNATIONALES DES TAUX DE CROISSANCE

Chair / Président: J. Stephen Ferris (Carleton University)

1. Export-Led Growth: A Survey and Some Noncausality Results
         Judith A. Giles (University of Victoria)
         Cara L. Williams (University of Victoria)
2. On Differences in Economic Growth Rates: A Time Series Cross-Section Study
         Atul Dar (Saint Mary's University)
         Sal Amirkhalkhali (Saint Mary's University)
3. Endogenous Growth Through Learning-By-Doing: Searching for International Spillovers
         Shamika Sirimanne (Department of Finance)
4. Does the Investment Rate Affect the Rate of Growth in the Long-Run?
         Dajin Li (Carleton University)

Sunday May 31, 2:30 - 4:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.
INTERTEMPORAL ISSUES IN PUBLIC FINANCE / PROBLÈMES INTERTEMPORELS EN FINANCE PUBLIQUE

Chair / Président: Paul Boothe (University of Alberta)

1. Credibility and Financing Public Debt
         Lawrence McDonough (Royal Military College)
2. Macroeconomic Implications of Debt Reduction: An Overview of Model Properties
         Douglas Hostland (Department of Finance)
         Chris Matier (Department of Finance)
3. Some Long Run Evidence on Tax Smoothing
         Mark Crosby (University of Melbourne)
4. Ricardian Equivalence Survives Strategic Behaviour
         Robert P. Rebelein (US Treasury Department)

Sunday May 31, 4:00 - 5:30 p.m., Room T.B.A.


Chair / Président: Jim Stanford (Canadian Auto Workers)

MEETING OF THE LEFT ECONOMICS FORUM / RÉUNION DU FORUM DE L'ÉCONOMIE DE GAUCHE